What's the chance of a very strong El Niño?
— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) October 6, 2023
The red blocks (🔴) indicate that 75-80% of the ECMWF ensemble predicts a very strong El Niño (>2.0˚C anomaly in the central equatorial Pacific) in December-January.
You'll likely only see a few events this strong in your lifetime. pic.twitter.com/GR5wSGYgSH