While perhaps not totally impossible, banking most of your forecast on this already very strong East-based El Nino event evolving into a "Modoki" El Nino prior to this winter may not be a good bet here.

This El Nino's coupling to the warm Atlantic/cold subtropical Pacific (-PMM)… pic.twitter.com/0q6PxkspIH

— Eric Webb (@webberweather) August 8, 2023