12z RAP Forecast @ 15z compared to 15z Mesoanalysis.

SBCAPE values are overperforming forecasts by about 500 J/kg.

Although moisture is still shunted farther south compared to early morning expectations, but much richer moisture/instability is present.

Watching those elevated… pic.twitter.com/oxBDTP4mZk

— Weather Track US (@weathertrackus) April 2, 2024