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  2. I missed out on the mid-April thundersnow. I'm surprised that late April is bringing a 6"+ contender but even more surprised that it will be whiffing to me to the south. Congratulations to Madison + 1 county N/S, looks like that's where the death band will be setting up W/E in the state. I'm only looking at 1"-2" from THIS storm but at least now GRB is talking accumulating snow from an inverted trough that swings through Sunday night. If that squeezes out another 1"-2" I'm pretty sure the back-to-back snows would be historic for the time of year, if less dramatic.
  3. Bostonseminole

    April 2019 Discussion II

    47/46 .02 so far... raw out Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
  4. His window of opportunity is roughly Labor Day through Memorial Day, so...yeah. Looks like yet another active afternoon in store for the LSV.
  5. SnoSki14

    April 2019 Discussion II

    There's our -NAO
  6. Rtd208

    E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2019 OBS Thread

    Picked up 0.20" of rain so far today. Current temp 54
  7. Picked up 0.20" of rain so far today. Current temp 54
  8. Today
  9. Ginx snewx

    April 2019 Discussion II

    Were some stellar days, that's over for a while.
  10. RUNNAWAYICEBERG

    April 2019 Discussion II

    I mowed yesterday and soil is still soggy. Just not enough good days to overcome the bad. Hopefully May can improve, April can end now.
  11. Ginx snewx

    April 2019 Discussion II

    Even after 2 days of warm sun and low dews my soil was wet 2 inches under. The first heavy shower this morning resulted in instant puddles and mud. Rivers have stayed high and murky. Hopefully we can transition to a ridge pattern.
  12. dendrite

    April 2019 Discussion II

    Hopefully the wedge verifies a little more south and convection can rob some of the mid level moisture from making it up here. I’d like to verify on the low end of these 1-2” model runs. We were just finally drying out.
  13. Ginx snewx

    April 2019 Discussion II

    Open them up? Ski lifts and pools? First game for my Ladies May 2nd, sitting on cold stands huddled in a blanket with hot coffee, not my cup of tea, ha, but have to support them.
  14. As it turns out cyclone Kenneth went through a period of RI and made landfall as 140mph storm. Strongest in Mozambique history.
  15. Interesting. I have not paid much attention to this admittedly, with a lot of other stuff going on. Just read the AM AFD from Mount Holly... A surface low in the Midwest will continue northeastward today in advance of a southern-stream vort max that is beginning to phase with a digging northern-stream shortwave trough. Amplification and negative tilting will continue through the morning as the large- scale trough approaches the Appalachians by midday. The Mid-Atlantic will be at the nose of a potent midlevel jet streak/vort max this afternoon, with strongly difluent flow in the upper levels favorable for substantial large-scale ascent along and in advance of a surging cold front. A warm front will lift north through the northern Mid- Atlantic today, with the warm sector likely making it through about the southern two-thirds of the CWA or so by early afternoon. Latest convection-allowing model guidance is suggestive of an environment favorable for organized severe storms this afternoon. Forecast soundings indicate backing surface flow as the large-scale system and associated surface low to our northwest deepens within the warm sector this afternoon. Hodographs are strongly indicative of potential for rotating storms. Low-level storm-relative helicity of 200-300 J/kg is not out of the question in advance of the cold front late this afternoon and this evening. In addition, several of the hi-res models develop decent mixed-layer based instability (with mitigating effects near the colder waters, as usual). The resulting CAPE/shear parameter space is adequate for tornadic supercells, though the strong large-scale ascent may favor more of a quasi- linear convective system (QLCS) with embedded transient/rotating storms.
  16. smokeybandit

    April Discobs 2019

    Doesn't look like much rain today for I-95 other than a line around 4pm.
  17. weatherwiz

    The Annual Countdown to May 1st Thread ©

    5 days!!!!!
  18. wolfie09

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Giants are officially the worst run franchise in sports lol
  19. Another day with rain. Areas east of NYC have already set the new record for the most April days with measurable rainfall. Islip is closing in on a remarkable 20 days. The previous record was 15 days. BDR just tied its record of 16 days. NYC is just 2 from the record of 16. ISP 1 2019 18 4 1986 15 0 - 1964 15 0 2004 14 0 - 1996 14 0 - 1989 14 0 - 1987 14 0 2017 13 0 - 2011 13 0 - 2000 13 0 - 1990 13 0 - 1979 13 0 - 1967 13 0 BDR 1 2002 16 0 - 1950 16 0 2019 16 4 - 1957 15 0 2011 14 0 - 2000 14 0 - 1996 14 0 - 1994 14 0 - 1959 14 0 - 1955 14 0
  20. CoastalWx

    April 2019 Discussion II

    Interesting aftn and evening. Pretty good burst of elevated instability moving in after 2-3pm. Might be some decent storms along and ahead of WF.
  21. Damage In Tolland

    April 2019 Discussion II

    It really just sounds awful this time of year
  22. Guess on if/when an LOT watch or advisory gets posted? I see a higher likelihood of anything if impacts are going to be greater beyond just the northern tier of counties. But there is always the SWS or HWO. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
  23. CoastalWx

    April 2019 Discussion II

    Glad we don't live there.
  24. Gray-Wolf

    Arctic Sea Ice Extent, Area, and Volume

    Indeed forkyfork! Not just the forcing toward Fram exit all the way from the Pacific entrance but the conditioning this will put on a pack that is mainly small floes 'glued together' by late formed ice? Such a dynamic fragmentation event will also lead to mechanical weathering of floes as they bump and barge one another on their travels? Then we have Barentsz and the open waters maintained over winter ( again) hinting at what awaits ice pushed into that region? 'Collapse and spread' of ice entering open water may see extent/area figures but this will be temporary and illusory. Something feels 'off' about this melt season? I do not know if it is the record summer the southern Hemisphere just had, and the fear of such conditions transfering North with the sun or the strange amounts of High Pressure across the hemisphere? The 'Greenland high' caused issues across Greenland in 2012 and now , after a few years of it not performing, we see it apparently back to strength? Then there is the 'Perfect melt storm synoptic'? If we are still able to see such develop, and we have not mangled the atmospheric too much for such to develop, then we are still in its return period......
  25. losetoa6

    April Discobs 2019

    A good bit of thunder from a cell around 5:30 am.
  26. moneypitmike

    April 2019 Discussion II

    At least black bears aren't protective of their cubs like grizzlies. I'd still be cautious intruding. How's that progressing? Meanwhile, what a beautiful late April Friday on tap......summer's here. Not.
  27. weathafella

    April 2019 Discussion II

    You have low standards for summer wx......
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