I know this sounds strange, but it just seems like recently, the models have gotten even worse! The ECMWF (the supposed King of the Models) had a complete garbage solution yesterday, that everyone figured was real, because after all, it was the ECMWF. Even the GGEM showed a similar solution. The GFS HAD shown this, but days and days ago. It seems like the modeling really isn't any better than it was in earlier years right now. Not only are they going to screw up the position of the low, but