OHweather Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 15 knots gusting to 22. At least the winds are panning out for those of us who went higher there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 37/32/14/0 One reservation about the high is they'll be socked in low stratus, but if they hang on to NW winds tonight they'll start the day at like 34 so we'll see. Reservation about the low is they may have a window to cool tomorrow evening if they can clear, but models show clouds hanging on tomorrow evening and there are a lot of clouds upstream. The NAM shows pretty decent winds just off the deck until 6z or so and if they stay in the mid 30's this evening some of that should mix down. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 I need a perfect forecast or to beat consensus in all categories to beat national consensus for the city. 36/30/13/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 37/31/11/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 35/30/12/0 I am concerned about the SWerlies tomorrow night, especially if they go nearly calm. I think that might be enough (even with clouds) to get them to drop into the 20s. As for the high, I'm confident in 35-36. Wind I'm confident in 11-13. Low I could see 27-32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 36/29/14/0. One more shot at beating consensus and break that 0.12 score from KCAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 36/29/14/0. One more shot at beating consensus and break that 0.12 score from KCAR. Pretty much if we don't get that wind tomorrow we won't beat Nat Con probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 36/28/8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 I can barely not reach top 2 cat 2's tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Wind is 5z to 5z here so hopefully they don't drop off much more this next hour. 12 knots right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Sustained at 9 knots gusting to 18 at 7z. Should get us 12-14 I'd imagine...we'll find out in about a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 NW at 10 knots gusting to 20 right now. I think my 14 is looking a-okay. Now let's see what the temps can do. NAM also looks a bit warmer this evening, but I am still worried about the low this evening depending on how much the winds slacken. And maybe I'll sleep at some point during the next 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 With 36+/30+/13+/0. I should finish above national consensus for the city and 12th for the first half year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Went with 36/29/14/0 for today. I had a higher low and played it safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 IF the low stays 32 or warmer I can finish just inside the top 100 for ANJ (somehow). My cumulative score will slip to 3rd for the fall semester either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 33/31 I don't like our chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 33/31 I don't like our chances. Yea the flow has shifted westerly and will likely go more southwesterly before 06z. With the flow no longer coming from the lake, they may be able to break out of the fog before 06z. With a significant snowpack that could mean a temperature freefall. For what its worth, both the NCEP and NCAR HRRR are in the 28-29oF before 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 As long as the low stay above 28, I'll beat consensus right outside Top 100. Not bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 What the hell? Midnight climo dropped the winds from 14 knots to 11 knots. That can't be right at all. This hoses everybody who went 13+. I don't get why they lowered winds. It makes no sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 What the hell? Midnight climo dropped the winds from 14 knots to 11 knots. That can't be right at all. This hoses everybody who went 13+. I don't get why they lowered winds. It makes no sense. It's wrong. That was the highest hourly wind again, they need to fix it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 It's wrong. That was the highest hourly wind again, they need to fix it. It was good in the afternoon, and then they screw up at midnight. So freaking weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 It was good in the afternoon, and then they screw up at midnight. So freaking weird. Hopefully the other cities aren't so messed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Hopefully WxChallenge manager will fix it soon. What an annoying problem... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 How was the highest wind speed of the day only 11? It should be 14 right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 How was the highest wind speed of the day only 11? It should be 14 right? Correct. I sent an email on Saturday, but they usually don't fix these issues until Monday of the following week (today). If it's not fixed by this afternoon, I'd suggest others sending an email to the WxChallenge manager. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Got an email, it's been updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jurg Posted December 15, 2014 Author Share Posted December 15, 2014 Got an email, it's been updated. But they still never fixed the Day 2 high temp... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 But they still never fixed the Day 2 high temp... I don't know what to tell you about that. I sent them an email on that one quite a while ago (although it actually would hurt my score)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jurg Posted December 15, 2014 Author Share Posted December 15, 2014 I don't know what to tell you about that. I sent them an email on that one quite a while ago (although it actually would hurt my score)... I just sent an e-mail myself. Awesome if they change it because it'll help my score. If not, oh well. On to Phoenix. Edit: Just received this explanation from my local manager: Looking back at this day, I see that the high of 26 on the climo report was at 11:59 PM. It looks like the actual high of 27 occurred sometime between midnight and 1 AM, and since the verification for ANJ was from 1 AM - 1 AM, this would have counted for the previous day. Fiddle-sticks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Back for another semester, y'all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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