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  2. stormtracker
    It’s kinda clear that this is a N and W thing at this point. Oh well, not too sad. We were playing with house money anyway.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like the trend tonight is towards less proficent cyclogensis, regardless of track...which isn't surprising. This isn't a pattern ripe for bombs.
  4. TSSN+
    Euroish
  5. MJO812
    Snowstorm for Boston
  6. bncho
    it's another ice storm (to rain) from the cmc. same output for the last 4 model runs of that. Euro likely to do the exact same thing it did at 18z as well
  7. MJO812
    Cmc Gfs shifted weaker
  8. TSSN+
    Difference in gfs and cmc at h5 by hr 72 is laughable
  9. MJO812
    Cmc might come in flatter than 12z. Following the rgem.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same, exact gradient, just more moderate amounts.
  11. CoastalWx
    Different and weaker with main s/w. I’m still inclined to toss it.
  12. TauntonBlizzard2013
    The biggest difference this run was definitely the cold side. Where it’s cold enough for snow it ended up pretty meh. Probably talking a 1/3 to 1/2 reduction
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, it isn't.
  14. dryslot
    Strung out POS
  15. Radtechwxman
    I hope the radar really blossoms and fills in like models are suggesting. Trough seems to be approaching western NE. Isentropric lift should start increasing next few hours.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS is awful.
  17. CoastalWx
    Gfs is very warm still in SNE. QPF is best near low track so not much oomph in the colder air for heavier amounts.
  18. H2Otown_WX
    Yeah, the vort is not consolidated, strung out POS
  19. TauntonBlizzard2013
    It’s just a lot weaker, not really south. the whole thing is just less impressive by a good margin
  20. bncho
    CMC with it's usual ice storm, Euro with it's C-2" before rain and then maybe some back end snow, that's probably what will happen, you don't need to stay up, go to sleep now
  21. MJO812
    Gfs is stil nice for interior SNE. It did come further south and east and alot weaker on this run.
  22. cyclone77
    Top down saturation almost complete. Should be seeing the first flakes before long.
  23. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Doesn’t look much different to me at all
  24. jaxjagman

    ENSO

    jaxjagman replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    Next year could be quite interesting if ElNino develops into summer into late fall,there is alot more correlation with ice storms,ive been doing some research the past few days of ice storms with the ENSO,Typically you'd expect Ice storms with ElNino but i found is when ElNino develops into summer-late autumn the odds dramatically increase into winter time
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    It’s actually the same or a touch further north with some surface features, just a but colder at first in some spots, looks like icon . Faster less amped meh
  26. TSSN+
    It’s so warm compared to euro/cmc ukemt lol. Takes the 32 line up almost to New York/PA line
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