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Pretty decent NAMing for parts of SW VA at 12z. Especially areas NE of Abington towards Wytheville.

Seeing the classic pattern in the high-res models of mountain snow, followed by a piedmont lull, and a NE NC jackpot.

Looks like winter this morning, all the trees, grass, and bushes are covered in rime ice, frost, frozen fog

Its slightly south of 6Z. Hopefully the northern trend stops

March will rock…patience!

It is. December also is a month for cutters. Deeper into winter while they still occur, they are less frequent. Unfortunately Kevin thinks it’s a winter month when it really isn’t a deep winter month, especially first half.

Ended up with ~4in. I’ll definitely take it.

The 3k NAM is a thing of beauty

One heck of an inversion.

impossible to predict anything with confidence past 5 days in this fast flowed pattern with very cold air and above average snow cover always to our north and west with the southern jet getting more involved in the pattern..............

Alright, I get that, but I think 20th on with a nice pack intact is pretty grinchy

Why can’t you do your own measurements? You had something more important to worry about other than snow??? I think not. You need to get your priorities straight.

Morning low of 1F. Couldn’t quite get below zero with the light snow and clouds lingering around into the overnight hours.

And I'm starting out at 34 lol. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

0.5” at MSP. Models nailed this one imby

Was a dang cold morning and frosted to heavy it looks like snow. Low of 20 degrees with was well below the forecast.

And it was AN for November and December and we've seen how that's turned out. All those seasonal models, except the Cansips, are seemingly programmed for AN as the default.

The 12Z HRRR is not much different than the 6Z when you look at total moisture and placement.... The difference with the snowfall map is due to difference in temperatures which keep most of it cold rain for the areas that are "blanked." I'm not surprised by this because the cold air is chasing the moisture and surface temps will likely be above freezing until sunset. So there could definitely be a mix or snow falling, but not sticking.

12z 12K NAM is pretty aggressive up this way but its a small area that gets thumped.

12z FV3 still about the same.

Definitely some needed snow for the mountains. Too bad us high plains folks aren't going to see any snow any time soon

LWX did that to me once last winter but under reported my total. I sent an email with a photo of my measurement and they fixed it.

Yeah, but I also feel like that timeline is expanding. Like getting a cutter on the 18th and 19th doesn’t really mean a grinch storm. Getting one on the 24th sure does.

Daylight: 9H21M:10S. We'll lose another 6 minutes but way of later sunrise. We are in the earliest sunsets and will gain 10 mins back on sunsets by Dec 31st but continue to lose time at the sunrise netting a 3m increase in daylight post solstice by 31st.