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We also got spoiled from 2019-2018-that 9-10 yrs was ridiculous for snow. It got to be to the point where that was considered normal and folks were surprised when it all ended.

Although I look at the Cfs2 for fun, I doubt it's reanalysis maps are correct!

Oh no! The Farmer's Almanac is going out of business! What will we do for pinpoint accurate seasonal forecasts?

Not understanding how certain posters have “warm agendas” and they get trolled but we get weenie mets who clearly post cold/snow favorable maps for clicks and subscriptions quoted here. Trust me I want it to snow as much as anyone but the last 5-6 years generally have been very unfavorable for our area to do well. It’s reality and we don’t like it, but nature doesn’t care what we like. Sooner or later the “warm agenda” posters will likely be too conservative but they’ve reflected the reality much better since the regime changed in 2018-19. If we have a Pacific jet dominated winter again, it’s very unlikely we make it to normal snow.

We are starting to sporadically see deterministic modeling (at very long range) spotting the potential for a massive EPO/PNA ridge. The 12z Euro is just the latest iteration. That ridge connects to a ridge over into eastern Asia. Europe goes into the ice box which teleconnects well to a cold eastern half of NA. That is the type of nechanism which can send bitterly cold air into North America, particularly the East Coast. Way out there and huge grains of salt.

Well said. Alot of agendas around here but in the end climo will be climo around here for the most part.

Yep. What a nasty afternoon.

Looks like we're on track for an impact in the next few hours. At this point, I don't think we need to worry about it being too early. More worried about a glancing blow. Undecided on if I go north/east/west tonight. Will probably look at the clouds and drive somewhere around sunset. Might base it on traffic lol

Snow pack went from 9” to 2” in just a couple days.

…or Rice-a-RONI.

Is the next skyrecho hitting earth yet?

Forecast for a possible encore performance tonight sounds meh This Afternoon Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Tonight Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 35. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

A Trace is just snow falling and either melting on contact or less than anything measurable. So yes, you had that, but nothing measurable yet.

Baltimore got almost 3ft of snow from the 2016 blizzard where SoMD got just over a foot. You had to know there'd be payback for that.

That is exactly what I observed 10-10:30pm for about 15 minutes Don't understand the science enough to know how the coverage works over the hemisphere but all these brilliant observations between 9-10 to Mexico and Florida and I was observing only a little dull green on the horizon despite the break in the clouds. It was like being in the 2016 blizzard score zone with only virga.

South definitely got more that year. Remember the TX freeze and the snow that came with it?

Here is the final snowfall map for the lake effect / lake enhanced and upslope snowfall event:

Oh no it wasn't just one. I'd love to look at the year by year for that. Wouldn't those averages be skewed by the mediocre years? And It's been several times in different areas. I can think of at least 6 years of the last 10 where places south got more. NC in Dec 2018, TX in February 2021, Snow in NO last year. 2019 southern MD getting more from that storm, and again last year--snow events in Alabama! Beach blizzard in...2018 I THINK. What I'm saying is the years that haven't been complete ratters, the south seems to be getting more. And you'd think it would happen less but the amounts have been consistently higher south of Baltimore since 2018 aside from years everybody failed.

Starting to suspect I should have gone with greater confidence than low back whence. heh

DCA: 14.8" BWI: 20.1" IAD: 23.3" RIC: 11.8" SBY: 17.7"

yeah, i posted about this over int the novie thread just this morning, too.

Downtown SLK! Heres one from 12 miles to your northeast, up the Saranac River, in Franklin Falls (NW slope of Whiteface). Light upslope continues...

Yeah it left some killer outflow boundaries behind it

Isn't this how Maximum Overdrive started?

I prefer MACARONI