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I mean the Merri-muck is close to that, but that has never seemed to be an influence on snow...

33.8 on my PWS. Would be nice to eke out some mood flakes overnight but I'm not counting on it

At 8pm, dew points are in the teens throughout the area with temperatures mostly in the 30s and some 20s in outlying and radiationally favored spots. That's a decently cold antecedent airmass.

Its good to see some real winter weather move into many northern areas so early in the season. Folks in the Chicago area will probably be ice skating this time next week.

That's right, I forgot you live down that way. Move back to Bethel Park just for tonight to get away from that mixing. Lol Yeah, hopefully your elevation keeps the mix away. Would be nice if we could all see 3 or 4 inches out of this one. Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk

Doesn't want to pay sales tax.

Prediction: humanity isn't going to acknowledge, and really get serious about this issue, for at least 50 years, and I won't live long enough to see it happen. It's going to take "some sizable percentage of Miami becoming too inconvenient" before there is serious societal change in how we view consumption of fossil fuels and how that is changing our planet I think Don or Tip has previously posted about this conundrum of the human condition: even though humanity has advanced to the point where we can confidently and purposefully choose to shape our future, our evolutionary DNA makes humanity, as a whole, reactionary

Never was in the game for snow but it's colder than forecast down my way. Sitting at 30 degrees and precip should start around 3am. Frozen is frozen or something like that lol

30 here in Frederick. Thinking of Dean Martin and "Let it snow!"

Why the heck would the model output follow the state border like that? I call BS

Damn that's harsh

32.9/23.7 in Havre de Grace. Zero expectation of accumulation but would be cool to see some flakes.

as @SnowenOutTherementioned the look on the GFS has become marginally better as well throughout the day (significant emphasis on marginally), I do like the precip creeping up this way with each subsequent run today. Still ultimately leaves us high and dry (quite literally) and this is probably just a case of me huffing my daily supply of weenie hopium, but with 5-ish days left I suppose there's time for things to take an unexpected turn for the better (in the form of a modest event obviously, we don't really need some blockbuster KU beast to put us on the right track for this month regardless)

Impressive radiational cooling for all of the area tonight. Not sure it will sensibly change the result, but it can’t hurt and sure as hell is better than sitting at 42 and hoping to wet bulb to 33-34.

I wish I was facing your concerns

State of Emergency issued for 5 NW NJ Counties.

I think if 00z cools a Smidge it’s looking much better there.

Down to 24° and skies have gone mostly clear again. Schools here have called a two-hour delay for the a.m.

They've bumped us up slightly

I said a few days ago anything under 3" would prompt a melt, and that's still where I'm at.

This winter season reminds me of 1999-2000. A bunch of storms that head north early then the big one Jan 25, 2000.

No politics.

Back edging a storm with its precip shield 100s of miles to our West is PEAK AMWX content thank you.

Some temperatures in the Catskills already in the teens. Great radiational cooling night before clouds move in.