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Bingo

I think we all need to move to the lakes. Coastal storms are a thing of the past.

The Canadian is a parade of weak clippers generally traversing north of us, with shredded precip fields. And then it’s gearing up for the massive cutter at the end of the run. Ugly 12z so far

It’s sad that it’s come to this to find fantasy snow, but posting a 300+ hour map is crazy. The evolution of this will be completely different run to run for the next week.

My gut says someone in the northern mountains is going to get absolutely thumped. Like prediction of 2” with a verification of 7 or 8” thumped.

Low this morning of 25.7. Currently at 42.1 just shy of noon-time Sunday.

If we can get some cross polar flow that may help to sharpen that western ridging and amplify downstream trough.

Some bonus shots:

$20 says if this were El Nino it would juice up enough to hit DC

Some bonus shots:

More and more signs have been pointing towards the long duration +ao/nao phase breaking down and flipping back towards what we saw in the 1996-2011 period. Doesn't mean every winter will be blocky of course just that we will have more periods of blocking than we've seen and possibly some long duration blocks over the coming years. Time will tell as always

24 here but I shot up into the 40s

Slight warmup and maybe some mixed/liquid precipitation midweek to ensure we go full glacier with the next arctic blast.

We can build a good pack with 3-6, 4-8 inch storms, nickel and dimes add up.

5.8” here. Stacking flakes on the deck

BN december in a nina means BN winter. On to spring.

It’s impossible to predict anything with confidence past 5 days in this fast flowed pattern………………….

Epic. Remember when it wouldn’t snow or every event would underwhelm?

Yeah, it’s a Nina. Not an ideal winter to go KU hunting. My weenie guess is if something does happen it will pop up inside 84 hours or so. Don’t think we’ll be doing any big dog, long range tracking.

Certainly a plausible evolution.

Yea let’s have another season of kicking big fantasy snows back to D10+.

I think they're jealous of us and want to copy us Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Ice quickly forming in the bays around the Lakes.

are you talking about your area in Northwest NJ or the entire NYC metro from Ocean County up to Ulster County in NY ?

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