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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Sounds like the end of the world people that go over the top with Global Warming as well that we read a new headline daily about how we are all going to die. It goes both ways. Both do equal damage. It would be nice to come into this thread without the crappy forecasters being posted in here and also the end of the world crap not being posted in here. By posting here you all are boosting them, lol. If you have a problem, ignore them or reply to them in their youtube or X comments. We don't need the crap in here.
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so far... rain may be a factor and wind... next wind event for us Sunday afternoon.... another marginal advisory situation... looks like G40-50 MPH.
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
WinterWolf replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Nah…I mean it’s November for god sakes. Same shit every year. It’s not supposed to snow here at thanksgiving 95% of time. Give it f’n chance..if December blows. You can claim victory. -
sort descending. 2024-2025 0 0 2023-2024 0 0 2022-2023 0 0 2021-2022 2 0 2020-2021 4 0 2019-2020 0 0 2018-2019 2 0 2017-2018 5 0 2016-2017 3 0 2015-2016 1 0 2014-2015 6 0 2013-2014 5 0 2012-2013 4 0 2011-2012 1 0 2010-2011 6 0 2009-2010 5 0 How far beyond the record will we go. 1415 days? 1430? More? Time will tell.
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I don't really care about NYC, but places that are close by this isn't the case, so they are more the exception to this "record." Dec 20/21st last year and 1/19/25 multiple places close to the city had over 4" of snow. Even with a bit of warming, it has been more bad luck. Warmer places in SNJ got over 4" 2x last winter as well. The last page back, where NYC snow totals through history were posted for NYC, from 1970-2002 there were only 4 winters over 30". Then 2002/03 to now, 12! Some people's minds I think got totally warped thinking we live in a snowy place.
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First freeze for NYC is a fake stat anyway. LGA didn't go below freezing until Novembver 26th in the 93-94 winter for example.
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Snow events are synoptic and there is a lot of stochastic variability. Seasonal snowfall has a cyclical component and also a lot of stochastic variability. Long-term averages reflect climate. A warming climate has an impact, but NYC’s climate is far from a degree of warmth to largely or fully explain the ongoing snowfall slump. It has has a marginal impact, but stochastic variability is primarily responsible.
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And then you see it posted/shared on Facebook and social media. Sad how hype/headlines sell in our society.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
No, there's currently one modeled for late month I believe though from what I've been reading. Nov. 20-22nd time frame I believe. -
Hopefully the models dont get stuck in 6. That would be awful.
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28 for the low here. Coldest of the season.
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2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If one goes back to his September 7 video, he announces that El Niño is “rapidly fading.” There was no El Niño this year. All monthly Region 3.4 anomalies were negative (cool). If one doesn’t know the basics, that says a lot. But that’s the state of social media where hype suffocates quality. -
Still looking pretty boring weather wise for the foreseeable future. Do storm systems around here exist anymore? lol
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The latest MJO forecast is a mix with GEFS not looking as good but the Euro still looking good: 11/14 GEFS further right with it hung up in middle of 6 rather than 6/7 border: But Euro is still all systems go to 7/8: 11/14 Euro ~same as yesterday with progression into 7: 11/13 extended Euro (they run a day later) continues to look very nice with it again getting to the often cold in the E US phase 8 mid-Dec (can’t ask for better for then): And yesterday’s extended GEFS also heads to phase 8 mid-Dec:
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The beginning of November through the end of March is totally insufferable on X. The usual suspects are always looking for subscription money, clout, likes, follows, views and retweets from the east coast weenies. Every L on the weather maps gets hyped into the Blizzard of 1996 and every cold outbreak gets hyped into turning the east coast into an arctic tundra like The Day After Tomorrow. Year after year, you can set your watch to it. It’s sad
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With the lack of significant cold in our forecast for the rest of the month, it will be interesting too see if NYC-LGA has to wait until December for their first freeze. ...New York City... Central Park, NY Ptcldy Ptcldy Rain Ptcldy Ptcldy Ptcldy Ptcldy /50 36/52 50/56 38/47 36/48 35/49 35/49 /00 00/20 90/50 00/00 00/20 20/10 10/10 EPS Nov 17-24 forecast Nov 24 to Dec 1 forecast
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
As soon as the wind picked up, the temp responded with it. 90 minutes ago my car was encased in frost and now it's 43 degrees. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's funny, I refer to myself (proudly) as the "Anti-HR guy" in HR because I spent nearly 25 years working in warehousing both here and at my previous job. I think that's allowed me to keep a good pulse/relationship with the people here that truly matter...the ones that get shit done. So many people in HR are clueless about what's really important to the blue collar folks because they never lived in that world. I did. My career changed after I was here, married, raising my family and THEN I decided to go back to school while doing all of that. My HR career only dates back to 2015. I think I strike the perfect balance of holding the line but also being a voice for the people. I honestly love what I do. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Everything warrants a "PREPARE NOW" headline....it's truly nauseating. I've been reading that crap every week from November through March and have been averaging like half of my average seasonal snowfall each year. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Wow! -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Between 7am and 8am my temp went from 32 to 42. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Quite a few of our valley locations saw temperatures well below freezing this morning including Warwick Township (22.7) with a low more than 10 degrees colder than here in East Nantmeal (33.3). We moderate a bit today and especially over the weekend with temperatures reaching well into the 50's. Rain chances increase by tomorrow afternoon with a cold frontal passage, and we turn much chillier again by Sunday night. Temperatures next week look to remain below normal with highs in the 40's and low in the upper 20's for most spots. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 36. Haven’t mowed in ages, thinking I’m going to sneak in a final one tomorrow.
