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That’s what it did in BOS. It had like -1C to -2C at 925 there. I agree this is a massively heavy lift for BOS but that’s how it would have to go. 00z euro rates and temp profile

thru 60 does look a bit flatter

Already huge differences by hr 60-66 at H5 compared to the 12z run yesterday. Not much difference versus 0z or 6z but its crazy to see such drastic differences in 24 hour

I think we will see the GFS a bit flatter coming up.

We're at 2.23", nearly 2" BN, for the 8th BN month this year and 11th of the past 15. Jan-Aug last year was very wet (despite our driest February), then the spigot went down to a trickle. A few flakes drifting by on 25-30 mph gusts, much less than the graupel shower that nearly covered the ground yesterday afternoon.

Yeah, I think the GFS starts the SE trends today.

Flake size and intensity has increased significantly in the last 30, we hit 10 if this is how its going to go from here on out

The 6z Euro ensemble and probability of 1" of snow. For Chesco from 40% in SE to 70% in NW....if I was a betting man or forecaster I would take the under. I suspect mainly rain to a slushy inch until North of ABE.

Des Moines looks like it’s getting hammered.

It wouldn't shock me, the GEFS have been SE of the op for many runs...

We're currently getting our 2x per week sunny weather in Frederick. I'll take it. Beautiful outside rn.

Feb 22 right? 12/20 last year was comical. Like 6” in canton coming home from Work in gridlock, and 100% rain here

That article, and your preface, are very misleading. First of all - that's a prediction, not an observation. We see where many of the alarmists' predictions have gone - many have not come true. Second - "prices" aren't what's important - costs are. When you take away subsidies for something prices will naturally go up. But that's a good thing, because it means that the actual costs are passed to the end users, where they should be - not hidden in the form of higher taxes and general inflation. Third - most of the increase predicted there is not due to the slowing down of renewables, but rather due to the shutdown of fossil production, which is pushed by the climate alarmists; and also due to the ramp-up of demand due to AI, which has nothing to do with renewables or fossil, as well as new tariffs. The article states that the administration "is trying to suppress solar and wind" but presents zero evidence of that. In general that article is a hugely slanted (anti-fossil) fluff piece. Had to laugh at this: "Through 2030, fossil electricity from coal and gas can provide 40-75% of demand growth in the U.S." The guy apparently doesn't even understand the difference between supply and demand. Coal and gas provide supply, not demand.

It seems like we need legitimate arctic air intrusions to get snow here now.

Their last one was the same here. It came close last year here but was 5.9”. However 3 miles west of Logan beat the 6” mark on 12/20/24.

It will be NW of 6z. Will rains to Maines

It’s just north of Louisburg airport and typically the coldest spot in the county. Usually drops 3-4 degrees on the car thermometer between getting off the pavement on 401 and when you pull in driveway. Louisburg airport was actually 19 this morning too. My weather station is less than 1/2 mile from their sensor

Still think that would be hard for them. It’s so borderline. It would have to absolute nuke for hours.

Got to see first flakes yesterday here and snow flurries while getting our Christmas tree at the farm. It was a great day. I'll be in NC Tuesday. I'll be sick if I miss an accumulating event here. Just sick. I take solace in knowing it likely won't pan out in the Valley.

Let’s do this!!! lol

I would laugh if the gfs ends up the most SE out of all 12z models

Watch the 00z euro verify now.

WB 12K NAM is a miserable, cold rain for most. At least it brings drought denting rains and an energized storm through the area.

Right. They are pretty close to the all time record between 6” snowfalls. i don’t think people truly understand how bad it’s been around here

That's what she said.