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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The 18z RGEM is worth a look if you live in E TN from Knoxville northeastward and also the Plateau as this likely trends northwest. -
Didn’t Tip opine on a cold pool of air to the NW that was going to act as a pseudo antecedent?
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
ORD received 8.4" of snow on November 29th, which broke the record snowfall total for the date of 2.4" (1953). ORD received 8.4" of snow on November 29th, which broke the November all-time calendar day record snowfall total of 8.0" (November 6th, 1951). Top 5 November Snowstorms 1. 12.0" - Nov 25-26th, 1895 2. 11.2" - Nov 20-21, 2015 3. 9.3" - Nov 6-7, 1951 4. 8.7" - Nov 29-30, 2025 5. 8.6" - Nov 26-27, 1975 (6. 8.4" - Nov 25-26, 2018) -
Top 5 November Snowstorms 1. 12.0" - Nov 25-26th, 1895 2. 11.2" - Nov 20-21, 2015 3. 9.3" - Nov 6-7, 1951 4. 8.7" - Nov 29-30, 2025 5. 8.6" - Nov 26-27, 1975 (6. 8.4" - Nov 25-26, 2018)
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Chicago Weather Records Tracking
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Top 5 November Snowstorms 1. 12.0" - Nov 25-26th, 1895 2. 11.2" - Nov 20-21, 2015 3. 9.3" - Nov 6-7, 1951 4. 8.7" - Nov 29-30, 2025 5. 8.6" - Nov 26-27, 1975 (6. 8.4" - Nov 25-26, 2018) -
Kick-Off '25-'26 Winter Storm Obs
CT Valley Snowman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
A few catpaws mixed in but primarily zr and 32. -
First sub-40 high at 38.9°. .87” of rain for the event.
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Kick-Off '25-'26 Winter Storm Obs
NorEastermass128 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
37F -
That band coming up from the south looks great! Could be a fun couple hours
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About 3". Sleet mixing in. 31F
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Yep: Over to sleet here after what looks like 2-3’’.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
For the rest of the storm, the HRRR is much more bullish for up here compared to the RAP. I know which I'm riding. -
Heaviest snow I've seen all day so far now in westfield. 100% snow again here. Heading out now to hit the plow route in Simsbury
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I have to give credit to the HRRR for the little weenie streak on the west side of Quabbin (linked below) even if it was a bit too high in general. We had just barely enough lat / lng / alt
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Very icy outside....31F right now. Epic fail on the sfc temps. Not totally uncommon to happen but a bit more surprising since we had no high to the north. But that sfc low kind of elongating to the northeast probably really turned ageo flow more northerly.
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Kick-Off '25-'26 Winter Storm Obs
AstronomyEnjoyer replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
25.7°, 4.9" new. In a bit of a lull for the time being. -
Top 10 Snowiest November's 1. 14.8" - 1940 2. 14.5" - 1895 3. 14.3" - 1951 4. 12.7" - 2018 5. 11.2" - 2015 6. 10.8" - 1975 7. 10.4" - 2025 8. 7.6" - 1953 9. 7.5" - 1893 10. 7.1" - 1978
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Chicago Weather Records Tracking
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Top 10 Snowiest November's 1. 14.8" - 1940 2. 14.5" - 1895 3. 14.3" - 1951 4. 12.7" - 2018 5. 11.2" - 2015 6. 10.8" - 1975 7. 10.4" - 2025 8. 7.6" - 1953 9. 7.5" - 1893 10. 7.1" - 1978 -
Dry with lots of up and down cold my way with that pattern. I'd like to see even some rain at this point.
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Yep, the NAM seems to have a better handle on the mid-level warm layer compared to the HRRR. Having said that, it looks like the northward progress of the mix line MAY have halted or even been knocked back a bit over Essex County MA...but could be just a temporary trend. Hard to say at this point if we have a snowy or an icy evening coming up.
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Not really. There's never more than 2. We come out a little ahead hen we fix them up and decide to move. We're not flippers though, we just move for new projects. Always try to buy a fixer-upper with a good location. I think the new Pit might be a keeper though. It's an 1820 in really rough shape.......but it's in the village two houses from the water. Got a good deal on it.....but man will it be a project. Time and dollars. My wife said all our other houses have prepared us for this moment.....sigh.
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Increasing support for a temporary weakening of the PV mid month. At least enough to keep it from being too strong for now but its still going for near normal strength by January.
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Where are you located now?
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Voyager replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
After shoveling out 3 cars and 2 sidewalks, I'm beat already. At 58 years old, I'm not built for heavy work in cold temps. I really wish my wife would have wanted to move to Arizona. I'd have tried to keep my mom's house, and would have lived happily ever after. Instead, I'm stuck here... -
back edge approaching here-what an awful day with rain and 33-34
