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I expected worse...I'd take that

Next run it will be in Thunder Bay

Columbia 9pm — 29°, wind calm, moonlit skies (moon is worth a look tonite). Satellite loop looks like some heavier clouds — and no doubt they would keep temps up a bit — moving steadily eastward from a line roughly from HGR thru Harrisonburg and Charlottesville.

That AI model has performed atrociously wrt frozen vs non frozen precip fwiw

we have 9 hours for a trend. that's more than enough.

You should be fine there.

Well, it could an A…A for Awful.

Looking at the 3k NAM the warm layer in the initial thump has been getting less pronounced over the past few runs and is really only ~1000 ft deep around 6k feet. If this layer could cool just a degree we could get a nice thump even in DC metro

Well it's not an A that's for sure.

Clouds really slow coming in and we don’t want that to backfire and have precip come in really late like after 9am

They announced two hour delay on their website and then said “just kidding” five minutes later. .

I think a lot of the fanbase would have a hard time reconciling a Mormon from Tonga as the latest successor to Saint Joe. I don't think it's going to matter. It sounds like the BYU admin has gone to the LDS for cash and the dude who runs Crumbl Cookies has opened his wallet. I think you have to start looking at Pat Kraft's employment at this point. If you "swing and miss" on almost every candidate, I don't think you get to keep your gig. This could all be moot. Perhaps Kalen DeBoer is headed north on Sunday, but Alabama seems to own Georgia so I don't think PSU should bank on Georgia winning the SEC and DeBoer being asked to leave. Maybe Joe Brady is being sent down by Terry Pegula to get some HC experience while waiting out Sean McDermott, but I doubt it. Remove the tag.

LOL

Notable bump southeast on the 0z 3k NAM from its 18z run, which helps York & Lanco 0z top 18z bottom

HRRR looked pretty good

Hrrr gets worse and worse

Not yet per an email we just got.

NAM gone wild.

Nam has dual low stuff. Not like 3K.

Same here with a dp of 20. Not a bad airmass but I expect 3-4 degree bump when the clouds roll in. Hoping we can get a few hours of a winter wonderland tomorrow morning.

0z Nam is going to deliver the goods, A couple tics further north.

HRRR a little RAPish

Referring to the climate…in general.