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Wow didn't realize the late 20s early 30s sucked that badly for snow in nyc. I wonder if at that time there were doomers like bluewave saying the mean may permanently change to 15" per year lol.

From Meteorologist Mike Masco... FWIW FULL BLOCK SETTING UP AS WE HEAD INTO DECEMBER? The latest European weekly run is flashing a very intriguing signal: a robust ridge building along the West Coast, arcing through Alaska, and extending all the way toward Greenland. That kind of alignment is classic high-latitude blocking, and it typically forces the entire jet stream to buckle south. When that happens, colder air is free to spill into the eastern half of the U.S. while storm systems ride along a more energized southern branch. What’s even more interesting is the early suggestion of a Southeast ridge trying to flex at times. That feature can act as a pivot point—sometimes enhancing moisture return, sometimes redirecting storm tracks, and occasionally helping to “trap” systems along the East Coast. It’s the kind of tug-of-war setup that can produce some very dynamic nor’easter development if timing lines up. Not to sound cliché because it feels like we say this every year… but based on the weeklies, this is legitimately one of the strongest early-season pattern setups I’ve seen at this range. If the blocking verifies, December could open with a bang. I'll mention this a little on PIX 11 News Morning Show between 7-10am and over the weekend.

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sounds solid brother. Unfortunately its not always that way. New managers come in and wanna show their testicular fortitude. when they try and make guys look bad, I am always pleased to show them they're wrong. LOL last month i was called in about to get written up because i called a manager out. He was smiling until i dropped the company policy book on the table and said where is the section that says this is for hourly employees only? HR guy looked funny and said that book is for everyone ended up back firing on the new manager and he got a verbal warning for breaking policy. The young fella's master degree didn't help him with that battle. I'm for the people

Absolutely.

This is true. Even when I lived in Mass in the”winters of yore” we didn’t really have any meaningful snow until December. Hell, significant November snow is not that common even up here if you go to lower elevations like North Conway or Littleton. I think it’s nice to see the progression, anecdotally it bodes well for winter, but the expectations have to be managed. Chances are even we won’t have a continuous snow pack in the valley, we’ll probably lose it all in an upcoming storm and then rebuild it. Such is life.

I do love palm trees, admittedly. I’ll be in Dominica for Thanksgiving so I’ll get some palm trees no matter what lol

Stopped snowing.

Sounds like the end of the world people that go over the top with Global Warming as well that we read a new headline daily about how we are all going to die. It goes both ways. Both do equal damage. It would be nice to come into this thread without the crappy forecasters being posted in here and also the end of the world crap not being posted in here. By posting here you all are boosting them, lol. If you have a problem, ignore them or reply to them in their youtube or X comments. We don't need the crap in here.

so far... rain may be a factor and wind... next wind event for us Sunday afternoon.... another marginal advisory situation... looks like G40-50 MPH.

Nah…I mean it’s November for god sakes. Same shit every year. It’s not supposed to snow here at thanksgiving 95% of time. Give it f’n chance..if December blows. You can claim victory.

Going to be hard to avoid warmth Thanksgiving week, GFS ushers in the cold a bit quicker just after Thanksgiving..

sort descending. 2024-2025 0 0 2023-2024 0 0 2022-2023 0 0 2021-2022 2 0 2020-2021 4 0 2019-2020 0 0 2018-2019 2 0 2017-2018 5 0 2016-2017 3 0 2015-2016 1 0 2014-2015 6 0 2013-2014 5 0 2012-2013 4 0 2011-2012 1 0 2010-2011 6 0 2009-2010 5 0 How far beyond the record will we go. 1415 days? 1430? More? Time will tell.

I don't really care about NYC, but places that are close by this isn't the case, so they are more the exception to this "record." Dec 20/21st last year and 1/19/25 multiple places close to the city had over 4" of snow. Even with a bit of warming, it has been more bad luck. Warmer places in SNJ got over 4" 2x last winter as well. The last page back, where NYC snow totals through history were posted for NYC, from 1970-2002 there were only 4 winters over 30". Then 2002/03 to now, 12! Some people's minds I think got totally warped thinking we live in a snowy place.

First freeze for NYC is a fake stat anyway. LGA didn't go below freezing until Novembver 26th in the 93-94 winter for example.

Snow events are synoptic and there is a lot of stochastic variability. Seasonal snowfall has a cyclical component and also a lot of stochastic variability. Long-term averages reflect climate. A warming climate has an impact, but NYC’s climate is far from a degree of warmth to largely or fully explain the ongoing snowfall slump. It has has a marginal impact, but stochastic variability is primarily responsible.

And then you see it posted/shared on Facebook and social media. Sad how hype/headlines sell in our society.

No, there's currently one modeled for late month I believe though from what I've been reading. Nov. 20-22nd time frame I believe.

Hopefully the models dont get stuck in 6. That would be awful.

28 for the low here. Coldest of the season.

If one goes back to his September 7 video, he announces that El Niño is “rapidly fading.” There was no El Niño this year. All monthly Region 3.4 anomalies were negative (cool). If one doesn’t know the basics, that says a lot. But that’s the state of social media where hype suffocates quality.

Still looking pretty boring weather wise for the foreseeable future. Do storm systems around here exist anymore? lol

The latest MJO forecast is a mix with GEFS not looking as good but the Euro still looking good: 11/14 GEFS further right with it hung up in middle of 6 rather than 6/7 border: But Euro is still all systems go to 7/8: 11/14 Euro ~same as yesterday with progression into 7: 11/13 extended Euro (they run a day later) continues to look very nice with it again getting to the often cold in the E US phase 8 mid-Dec (can’t ask for better for then): And yesterday’s extended GEFS also heads to phase 8 mid-Dec:

The beginning of November through the end of March is totally insufferable on X. The usual suspects are always looking for subscription money, clout, likes, follows, views and retweets from the east coast weenies. Every L on the weather maps gets hyped into the Blizzard of 1996 and every cold outbreak gets hyped into turning the east coast into an arctic tundra like The Day After Tomorrow. Year after year, you can set your watch to it. It’s sad

With the lack of significant cold in our forecast for the rest of the month, it will be interesting too see if NYC-LGA has to wait until December for their first freeze. ...New York City... Central Park, NY Ptcldy Ptcldy Rain Ptcldy Ptcldy Ptcldy Ptcldy /50 36/52 50/56 38/47 36/48 35/49 35/49 /00 00/20 90/50 00/00 00/20 20/10 10/10 EPS Nov 17-24 forecast Nov 24 to Dec 1 forecast