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Thanks. But to his credit, he backs it up well! Some on the other side don’t back it up as well. As far as myself, I clearly prefer cold and root for it. However, I do my best to post as objectively as possible and not let my preferences affect my posts.

I didn't say I expected it to get back to '60's Era. I said the recent averages would increase. Obviously overal warming has taken place, whether Cyclical , environmental or otherwise. I definitely don't believe it's all Greenhouse gasses. I'm not a practicing Met now but, still do some research and still look back on my working days and yes there's been a gradual warming but, we're still getting Snow way South. So, a banner Year in the MA is still very possible.

Yeah with that Bz you won't see anything unless it flips negative.

Weeklies are still cold and active in the central and east. The latest PV is most likely at its weakest stage yet.

yes but thankfully The Old farmers almanac will still be going strong, the forecasts are for entertainment but the gardening tips and astronomical information is top-notch and they have some of the best calendars I’ve seen.

Yeah I mean I'm a snow miser like a lot of folks here. I want snow and plenty of it! Why he won't simply admit to being a heat miser when it's so blatantly obvious is beyond me--all our biases are loud and clear

95-96 was second best snow winter for ETn in my lifetime behind 93 .

Kevin disagrees

@Maestrobjwa I think you’re not getting what I’m saying. One anomalous result in one season at one location is not indicative of a climate shift. It’s just a fluke. Look at 2010. Baltimore got 32” more snow than Albany NY that year. Was that some indication the climate had shifted and Baltimore was snowier than Albany or was it just a one year fluke anomaly?

I don’t know how to get that map but I could run the numbers. Give me some cities and I will tell you what their average is v Baltimore over that period. 2018-2025

But you picked 3 different locations where in one season they got more snow than Baltimore. One year. Over a longer period (10 years or more) none of those locations had more snow than Baltimore. That isn’t how climate works. One storm in one season is a fluke. If New Orleans got more snow over a 10 year or 30 year period then we can have this conversation.

How do I get that map from 2018 through now? That's the time period I really wanna see.

I must be misrembering then. I just know southern half has done better than the northern half of our sub since Dec 2018.. It's not one season but multiple ones since then. Precip boundary has been consistently south of here, hasn't it? NoVa has done better as well...but I could be wrong.

We are due for another negative cycle of the AO/NAO. However, don’t assume that fixes 100% of this. We had a very favorable long term cycle of the NHem long wave pattern from 2001-2016 and the sad fact was the mid Atlantic only has “average” snowfall during that period. NYC and Boston were setting all kinds of snowfall records though! This period was very similar to the pattern of 1958-1971 but the positive snowfall anomalies shifted further north and we were south of most of the snow. Similarly we were due for another god awful period with an unfavorable PDO/AO coinciding, but just like the last favorable cycle didn’t produce as much snow as previous ones, this bad cycle is producing even less snow than previous ones. So yes we will get a better period sometime with a run of a more favorable PDO and AO and it will snow more than it has the last 10 years. But don’t expect it to suddenly go back to what the results were in the 1960s or even what they were in the 2000-2016 period. The downward degradation of our snowfall will continue with shorter term highs and lows within the longer scale trend. Below was our mean Dec-Feb h5 from 2001-2016 and yet all we got from this was near mean snowfall. We should have been way above avg snow (like NYC and Boston were) with this pattern.

You gonna rock this year Chris.

He’s just trying to be funny. It’s good to laugh at yourself. I do that all of the time! I’m my own best comedian when I laugh at myself as I have so much material! Geez, all I have to do is to look in a mirror. Come on, man, we all know that you enjoy pushing mildness in winter when you can back it up well (which to your credit you do), and that there are more that do the same on the opposite end sometimes without good evidence.

WeatherBell CFS maps are also a little bit gimmicky. TT shows a much different outcome.

looks like storm arrived 1915z

Spaceweatherlive.com they have a forum too.

Congrats Atlanta?

Can someone remind me of the key websites to monitor and what I am looking for again?

Pretty colors of the PV warming. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

I glanced at this quickly and thought you said movie thread. I was excited until I realized it was Novie.

The 1968-69 winter has been brought up a lot recently. We got this beast that winter.

One specific location getting more snow in one specific season is a fluke. If you pull back and look over a 10/20/30 year period it is not snowing more to the south. One storm and one year is a fluke. An anomaly of short term randomness within the longer scale actual patterns. Same way 2010 was an anomaly for us, not some indication we get more snow than places in upstate NY that got less snow than Baltimore that one season.