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is it time for me to up my snowfall contest prediction by 10 inches?

Speaking of unexpected,the precip shield from the plains snowstorm might actually clip us with frozen precip tomm am She's scooting eastward across Missouri currently, the track has tended to be more eastward then ne also.

DT's first call.

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DT's First Call map looks like mine.

And then we had 12/5-6/03 which was even better. And the 12/5 snow was mostly unexpected.

All the globals show a decent to good hit for the region, with some of them taking quite a liking to Schuylkill County. The traditional Euro shows the least, and even that puts down 3 inches here. The NAM on the other hand...

That was my issue through the morning. Very poor flake quality. Like pixie dust. Finally getting quality snow now. Thinking I may be on lower end of what was forecasted here though. Kind of feel like precip may move out sooner than forecasted.

It did. The euro shows a more alternating waveguide (with EPS support). Fast pac jet with some systems bombing into AK while another amps up the ridge behind it. I can’t show the animation due to file size limits.

Just drove from PQI and the wind on 95 north of Bangor was pushing us around quite a bit. Driving through Winthrop now.

@mitchnick putting it in the wrong thread lol

Best eps run since Dec 2009, IMO. Prove me wrong, King. Make me believe.

Cold? Snowstorms? December 2009?

Yeah it has 6”+ here. I’m still pretty pessimistic for warning snows but maybe advisory has a decent chance.

12z EC showing that line in the dirt and Lehigh Valley Special...

Last hour at ORD... METAR KORD 291751Z 13007KT 1/4SM R10L/2000V3000FT +SN FZFG VV007 M03/M04 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP241 SNINCR 1/3 4/003 933022 P0006 60021 T10281039 11028 21039 58029 $

EPS was tasty... but we shall see lol

Entire Eps run droolworthy.

It's been bullish for Tuesday almost from the start. We'll know in a few days if it should be belived in the future.

Good cold repeatedly filtering into New England from SE Canada on much of the 12z Euro run.

Hard to tell with the limited PivotalWX panels, but it appears as if the EPS backed off a bit from the greater +EPO it showed at 0z for the D7+ range.

Snow accumulation has been slow for much of the morning due to light rates and poor flake quality. The best snow is just now getting in here ahead of the low. Reports around CR/IC say about 7", which is probably what I have so far. I had 5.7" a couple+ hours ago.

kind of a snow-hole south of Chicago at Pontiac. Otherwise, about 7.8" out by Cyclone77 in Erie

I'm not doom and gloom...I went 19-29" for you on the season. I'm just not as optimistic about December as the consensus for your area.

Especially at this juncture. It's still early for our Hood. So an advisory event now is perfectly okay with me. Looks like we have another shot of something next Saturday as well