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GFS was so close… c’mon @csnavywx reel this in for us.

41, fog/mist...another shit day. At least snow if it's gonna be wet and cold.

GFS lowk joined the party with its 18z run

A fresh surge of cold air will arrive tonight. Tomorrow will likely see subfreezing temperatures across much of the region and Tuesday morning could rival or even surpass the cold of December 5th at some locations. The ongoing stretch of below normal temperatures will likely continue into or through the second week of December. December 1-10 will be a solidly colder than normal period. The potential exists for the coldest first 10 days of December since at least 2007 (33.4°, 5th coldest December 1-10 since 2000). The five coldest December 1-10 periods since 2000 were: 1. 30.6°, 2002 2. 32.2°, 2003 3. 32.4°, 2000 4. 33.1°, 2005 5. 33.4°, 2007 All 5 of these cases had measurable snowfall in Central Park. The WPO is forecast to become strongly negative beyond December 10th. That would likely contribute to the December 10-20 period also being colder to perhaps much colder than normal overall. The probability that December 2025 will have a maximum monthly temperature below 60° is increasing. The last time that happened was in 2019 when the monthly high was 58°. If 2025 has a monthly high below 60°, that would be only the fifth such occurrence since 2000 (2003, 2004, 2005, and 2019 are the cases since 2000). The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around November 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.67°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through at least mid-winter. The SOI was -7.11 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -2.202 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 89% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal December (1991-2020 normal). December will likely finish with a mean temperature near 34.0° (5.1° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.5° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Ravens as a team are just simply not that good. Been “playing from behind” a lot this year.

I can tell you right now, not much more here in Spotsy than Richmond the last few years we have gotten some good ones over the northern areas…but typically, we are on the southern edge of the snow line. Richmond usually sees way less than I received. It’s just been a strange few years

Yep down to 43 already after a high of 51

I actually agree with that / unless some non off hour runs besides 18z gfs shows some proper phasing for next weekend.

Lol .. what could go wrong with the NAM past 84 hours??

Defensive line is by far the worst part of this team. Rogers had been putting up pedestrian numbers all year then all of a sudden he throws for 300yds. In they playoffs they would easily give up 27+ every game. Oh well. I do think if Likely had scored a TD a the end the Steelers wouldn't have been able to drive back down the field.

We don’t even dink and dunk well anymore. Pattern the next two weeks looks cold/dry/warm/wet repeat. Honestly bring on the torch if that’s how it’s gonna roll…

Right? I hear ya. What is the average high for Central Park for Dec. 7th?

We are going to need some kind of shake up to the pattern to see widespread snow. I don't remember seeing many ridges out west that were sprawled out so far west to east vs south to north. That's pretty much killing our chances of having a storm track that works for us. Nothing is going on in the southern stream really, and clippers are shunted too far NE for us due to that ridge alignment. Unfortunately the PNA is forecast to remain - for the next 14 days with the west/east ridge. We are going for 10 days of mostly dry weather across 95 percent of the forum area with less than .10 qpf falling. As soon as that pattern breaks a little it will warm up and rain, no doubt.

The only wildcard I see is that we’re about to get way more radiational cooling than I would have anticipated. Gonna be a sizable break in between the clouds moving out and tomorrows batch moving in.

I just wish we could all enjoy Christmas first. .

You are in your glory.

LOL! So funny. I was going to post yesterday that if NYC proper didn't receive any measurable snow by Dec. 20th, the comments of winter canceled, put a fork in it, on to spring, etc, etc., would appear. I was wrong. Only took to Dec. 7th. Too funny..

la nina will end sometime in january and go neutral..

He played 'ok'. That last play he has to throw the ball away- a sack ends it, and it did.

Lamar played a good game. He gets too cute with his wrist throws and such.. eventually other teams catch onto his mentality, that's what's wrong.

Exactly. Pretty big difference in the playoff picture. It's a shame, the Ravens are team that could get hot at the end, it's how they play like they are always warming up or something.

Anyway, Ravens can start to look towards next season. Hopefully EDC will wake the fuck up and do what needs to be done. The Lamar era might be past its prime. Multiple dominant teams failed to deliver when it matters, and ultimately that's on the coach.

That’s a later date than usual to give up. We’ve been giving up lately more often in November in recent times. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

That’s a later date than usual to give up. We’ve been giving up lately more often in November in recent times. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk