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Things are on track here. It’s been snowing for a couple of hours and we have about a half inch so far. Consistently snowing with flake size and rate gradually improving. The radar looks great.

I agree, I think that's where we'll end up, enough to whiten the ground with a few inche, hopefully not enough to insulate it though. Think I'll sneak maybe an inch or two Sunday night and then it'll wash away.

This looks like 1-2” max but should be a nice refresher and a very rare snow on snow for early December

12z GGEM goes over SE MA/Cape

I wouldn't worry about the OP details yet...like where we stand.

Some specs of 25-30 dbz starting to show up on radar

Here is today’s 12z gfs from 45 and 102 hours. Looks very similar, pattern repeating itself. It is decent just gotta take advantage of one of these waves. Cold source nearby. Also, this might produce… .

Heavy snow is ahead of schedule(wasnt looking good earlier), math is in our favor to hit double digits after that last uptick and it looks good upstream. I will be on the move shortly, will see how the afternoon goes. Congrats to the board , I know its been a tough, I sense PTSD, lol.

Good look.

Reflectivity looks great to the southwest of Chicago. Going to be a prolonged period of 0.5-1” per hour rates coming up

Not even close for most around Boston and South. Need something euro like

Probably too far north here for the good stuff, but we won't sneer at 3-4".

As long as this trend continues. We don’t need everything else trending towards it today

Let’s all just take a moment and appreciate the extremely fast start to winter, something that has been severely lacking the last several years. To all those in the jackpot, congrats and keep uploading pics! Still a good storm here too

i guess he said "to Maine" and not "through Maine". North of Rt 1 looks fine, ftw.

Anybody got any calc on ratios thus far?

Maybe one run had rain on the coast up here otherwise..............

CTP's forecast for me on Tuesday is rain mixed with snow and a high of 38. Not inspiring but not surprising.

I think those who were saying less amp called it, and gfs took a step in that direction. Not saying its gonna snow, its too warm for the lowlands. Still thinking coating to 2” slop far NW of fall line.

Told ya what? It's looking more like the Euro now. It definitely shifted more south.

Ah, I have noted in the past Louisburg is one of those "typical outlying cold spots" often mentioned in the RAY AFD. What is it about the geography to that gives such good radiational cooling?

That was a trend better for SNE than previous runs. Still warmish but it at least holds snow for longer…gives you maybe advisory snows instead of a quick coating.

I agree completely with all of your comments/assessments you've posted. The only thing I would sorta challenge is that his thoughts for Tuesday were for the entire LSV and not Lanco-specific. Let's hope this doesn't trend north as he fears it will.

Whatever model shows rain is the one to bet on. Weenie Handbook, page 5.

Not really seeing "rains to Maine" on that GFS run except for extreme coast.