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First freeze for NYC is a fake stat anyway. LGA didn't go below freezing until Novembver 26th in the 93-94 winter for example.

Snow events are synoptic and there is a lot of stochastic variability. Seasonal snowfall has a cyclical component and also a lot of stochastic variability. Long-term averages reflect climate. A warming climate has an impact, but NYC’s climate is far from a degree of warmth to largely or fully explain the ongoing snowfall slump. It has has a marginal impact, but stochastic variability is primarily responsible.

And then you see it posted/shared on Facebook and social media. Sad how hype/headlines sell in our society.

No, there's currently one modeled for late month I believe though from what I've been reading. Nov. 20-22nd time frame I believe.

Hopefully the models dont get stuck in 6. That would be awful.

28 for the low here. Coldest of the season.

If one goes back to his September 7 video, he announces that El Niño is “rapidly fading.” There was no El Niño this year. All monthly Region 3.4 anomalies were negative (cool). If one doesn’t know the basics, that says a lot. But that’s the state of social media where hype suffocates quality.

Still looking pretty boring weather wise for the foreseeable future. Do storm systems around here exist anymore? lol

The latest MJO forecast is a mix with GEFS not looking as good but the Euro still looking good: 11/14 GEFS further right with it hung up in middle of 6 rather than 6/7 border: But Euro is still all systems go to 7/8: 11/14 Euro ~same as yesterday with progression into 7: 11/13 extended Euro (they run a day later) continues to look very nice with it again getting to the often cold in the E US phase 8 mid-Dec (can’t ask for better for then): And yesterday’s extended GEFS also heads to phase 8 mid-Dec:

The beginning of November through the end of March is totally insufferable on X. The usual suspects are always looking for subscription money, clout, likes, follows, views and retweets from the east coast weenies. Every L on the weather maps gets hyped into the Blizzard of 1996 and every cold outbreak gets hyped into turning the east coast into an arctic tundra like The Day After Tomorrow. Year after year, you can set your watch to it. It’s sad

With the lack of significant cold in our forecast for the rest of the month, it will be interesting too see if NYC-LGA has to wait until December for their first freeze. ...New York City... Central Park, NY Ptcldy Ptcldy Rain Ptcldy Ptcldy Ptcldy Ptcldy /50 36/52 50/56 38/47 36/48 35/49 35/49 /00 00/20 90/50 00/00 00/20 20/10 10/10 EPS Nov 17-24 forecast Nov 24 to Dec 1 forecast

As soon as the wind picked up, the temp responded with it. 90 minutes ago my car was encased in frost and now it's 43 degrees.

It's funny, I refer to myself (proudly) as the "Anti-HR guy" in HR because I spent nearly 25 years working in warehousing both here and at my previous job. I think that's allowed me to keep a good pulse/relationship with the people here that truly matter...the ones that get shit done. So many people in HR are clueless about what's really important to the blue collar folks because they never lived in that world. I did. My career changed after I was here, married, raising my family and THEN I decided to go back to school while doing all of that. My HR career only dates back to 2015. I think I strike the perfect balance of holding the line but also being a voice for the people. I honestly love what I do.

Everything warrants a "PREPARE NOW" headline....it's truly nauseating. I've been reading that crap every week from November through March and have been averaging like half of my average seasonal snowfall each year.

Wow!

Between 7am and 8am my temp went from 32 to 42.

Quite a few of our valley locations saw temperatures well below freezing this morning including Warwick Township (22.7) with a low more than 10 degrees colder than here in East Nantmeal (33.3). We moderate a bit today and especially over the weekend with temperatures reaching well into the 50's. Rain chances increase by tomorrow afternoon with a cold frontal passage, and we turn much chillier again by Sunday night. Temperatures next week look to remain below normal with highs in the 40's and low in the upper 20's for most spots.

Low of 36. Haven’t mowed in ages, thinking I’m going to sneak in a final one tomorrow.

Quite a few of our valley locations saw temperatures well below freezing this morning including Warwick Township (22.7) with a low more than 10 degrees colder than here in East Nantmeal (33.3). We moderate a bit today and especially over the weekend with temperatures reaching well into the 50's. Rain chances increase by tomorrow afternoon with a cold frontal passage, and we turn much chillier again by Sunday night. Temperatures next week look to remain below normal with highs in the 40's and low in the upper 20's for most spots.

They were warned. Worry was legit

I just feel like these youtube mets do the public a disservice because the focus is more on click maximization than it is the dissemination of the highest quality of information. This garbage is also like opioids for weather weenies.

I'd definitely take a decent event. I'm assuming thats a 2-4/3-6 kind of deal... but we haven't had many decent December snowfall down here recently

A chilly 24.3 for the low

I think at the end of the day, December is a New England month more than anything else, but hopefully I'm wrong. Mid Atlantic could get a decent event mid-month or so.

30.7 low here, least the winds finally backed off this morning.