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  2. Something LOUD just flew over Colesville area. ADS-B has something but it's not identified. Probably fighter jet(s) - only getting it periodically on MLAT tracking. 340+ knots if the MLAT is accurate.
  3. Is spaceweatherlive the best site for tracking the CME in real time?
  4. Hey Gene…can you vouch for a wildlife rehabilitator in our area? I found a squirrel in my road that was hit, but still alive. The only visible sign of injury is a little blood on a rear foot, but it isn’t really moving anything from the waist down except a slight movement of the other leg a few times. Upper half looks good. I have it in a box in the basement right now. The closest one (Henniker) has some iffy reviews.
  5. Mood flakes yesterday and light snow the past 3 hours around 33F. Still waiting for our first trace. We did have a dusting in shaded areas for about an hour yesterday before sublimation. Does that count?
  6. Great Post man ! I made mention of the possibility Cozgrove could be right about the back being cold but wrong about the front and the possibility exists of a solid cold Winter after you posted what his thoughts were recently. He and I and his Buddy Dave Dierks used chat quite a bit and he is without a doubt an expert in Lr Forecasting Dave's more medium range. Imo, this one has the Chance of being a 95-96 type weak Nina or even a 10-11 . The latter was strong moderate but had strong Blocking. Blocking was the big deal for both. '95-96 was cold all three Months but did have short lived mild periods. '10-11 Cold Dec and January, mild February.
  7. Saw a link on NPR, NOAA site with Aurora info/forecast. Most is over my head, but it shows strong activity continuing in the Northern Hemisphere. Also, I am a sucker for nice visuals... Haha. https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
  8. Thanks for all this information!. Nothing like true eyewitness accounting!! I live too far east for lake effect upslope. My area is downslope for west or northwest winds. We do well with southern systems or noreaasters, being upslope for those. My first experience with lake effect upslope was late October of 1968. I drove from a partly sunny 53 degrees at Harrisonburg to pouring snow and 26 degrees at the summit of Spruce Knob with 4 - 6 inches acc. and drifting. Many times during the 70's and 80's, when I wanted lake effect, I drove to the state line on Rt. 250 which is the highest elevation of any primary highway in Virginia at 4332 ft.. The old timers at Monterey have told me that legend has snow flurries falling there in July many years ago. People who have never experienced lake effect snow have no idea how much difference can exist 50 or 60 miles northwest of Staunton or Harrisonburg on an invading northwest wind, especially late fall and early winter when the waters of Erie or Michigan are still warm. Truly, another world.
  9. Always. I would like the coulds around here to cooperate just one dang time.
  10. yeah the shorter days could definitely help us! Fingers crossed (about all we can do with space weather - or ANY weather to be honest)
  11. Moisture is evaporating on runs and placement does seem to be further south.
  12. Damn... The season hasn't even begun yet and there is already whining ( jk ). Hey... At least things seem to be heading in the right direction as we head towards December. Better this than a true Shyte pattern heading into the long range.
  13. And here's the part that defies common sense. So if this is the climate, you would think you WOULDN'T see snow and cold south of here as much...and yet over the last 7-8 years places south of Baltimore, and then places WAY south...have seen more snow. Like you would think that boundary shifting north=warmer and less snow south. You'd think you wouldn't see Texas freezing in 2021, onorthern. AL snowing last year, or again, Southern part of the forum having more snow than the northern. The whole thing is counterintuitive.
  14. Rolled the kids out of bed last night a drove a couple miles out of town. They were mesmerized.
  15. Hes always on that train. Just like youre always not along with Bluewave. We got it guys, lots of narratives. But the weather always comes out in the wash. You’ll get your 4 inches in December and Id take the high end of Accuweather seasonal fluff
  16. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    WeatherBell CFS...
  17. If that streak is gonna break I guess we can't count on it breaking in a la nina. Even dang Atlanta got flurries before we did. It baffles me to no end how the supposed boundary is inching "north" yet places just south--or WAY south--of here have seen more snow than we have over the last 8 years. Just on a commonsense level that makes zero sense. You'd think warmer would mean that wouldn't happen as much and yet here we are!
  18. Last October was definitely nuts. Can anyone give me an idea of what the cloud cover will look like tn in NWCT?
  19. Had about 1.5" on the East Side of Elk Knob SP, about 7 miles North of Boone. Hard to tell from all the winds, lows were down around 17 over Monday night. Looking forward to a great winter with the crew on here! Best wishes folks!
  20. Seems it's always better to have it decaying otherwise it's congrats Snookie
  21. It does seem to become skillful within a week of the following month.
  22. Excellent shot! Believe we're expected to have more ab tonight!
  23. Here's the data for December vs. January-April snowfall for New York City for La Niña winters 1979-80 through 2024-2025. 2024-2025 is officially listed as cold neutral. December 2024 had 2.8" of snow.
  24. Sigh. Another winter of seeing places well to the south cash in while we are missed?
  25. The red pillars were naked eye visible, couldn't believe it! Hoping tonight is even better, but we'll see.
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