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This morning, we saw many valley locations across the area down into the single digits for low. The lowest was the 6.1 at Warwick. This was the coldest morning since late last January when many spots saw below zero temps both the 21st and 22nd of January. We continue to keep well below normal temperatures for the remainder of the week. We do warm up to closer to normal tomorrow which should allow any start of snow or freezing rain to switch to plain rain from SE to NW across the area by late morning. A couple more chances of snow look possible both on Friday night and again on Sunday morning. More frigid temperatures follow any snow potential on Sunday with the coldest day so far this year by next Monday.

Not hating the "snowpack in place, frequent refreshers" pattern we are in. Feeling pretty good for a white christmas.

We’re in NAM range for a December event again? This has been awesome from a tracking perspective even if nobody north of Fredericksburg has too much to show for it, lol

This morning, we saw many valley locations across the area down into the single digits for low. The lowest was the 6.1 at Warwick. This was the coldest morning since late last January when many spots saw below zero temps both the 21st and 22nd of January. We continue to keep well below normal temperatures for the remainder of the week. We do warm up to closer to normal tomorrow which should allow any start of snow or freezing rain to switch to plain rain from SE to NW across the area by late morning. A couple more chances of snow look possible both on Friday night and again on Sunday morning. More frigid temperatures follow any snow potential on Sunday with the coldest day so far this year by next Monday.

I can understand your point….but if we were just at average, there’d be people squawking there isn’t any cold in sight…Decembers suck, bla bla bla…so you can’t win. Now we have the big cold, and it’s literally snowing everywhere but here. Nothing we can do. Grin and bear it.

Yeah, too much cold is; well, too much for legit snow opportunities. We are seeing that play out currently with the bouts of southern snows. It was fascinating watching the snow in VA get shunted south throughout the day yesterday as the arctic air ambushed the state from north to south.

I rode in -20 to-35 conditions up in the county several years back on back to back days, Once its that cold, You can't tell the difference from -20 to -35.

Nam starting to show the little clipper for Friday.

I don't even care about other parts of the country. Has no bearing on me, unless its something as egregious as 2010. You just need to keep in mind December climo, and hopefully 12/14 pans out so we are all on track or even above. I think what everyone is sensing is a brewing grincher on the 24th/25th, and the angst and anxiety is starting to bubble over. Lock it in!

looks like 4-6" probable here by tomorrow afternoon, the hrrr finally got with the program and came way south.

So what you’re saying is that there are no opportunities for us in SNE, but every other part of the country has opportunities? I mean it’s literally snowing all around us. At some point Paul…it’s hard to escape everything. It could happen, but I don’t think it’s smart to say there aren’t any opportunities, or they(the opportunities) aren’t there.

At 9:02 AM EST, 1 NE Elizabeth City [Pasquotank Co, NC] CO-OP Observer reports Snow of 1.10 Inch

Honestly, I don't like how cold it has been the past month and a half....At some point, the switch is going to flip and my worry is it will be sometime mid to late January through February during our climo snowfall periods. I would almost rather have this time period be close to average heading into the holidays. Despite what averages show, my firewood burn rate has been at an all time high here, lol...Here is to me being wrong, I am quite ok with that and will be first to call myself out

Yeah, you can see where this is headed...they'll squeak into the playoffs and get blown out by the Rams (similar to TB in 2023).

Given the proper set up it could have been a SECS, but alas the Pac did not allow it. At that time we did have a - AO and a -NAO. But the PNA was upgly.

8.8

VA loved the pattern in early December. The more I learn about this stuff the more I believe it's all just random luck lol

A simple trough progression brings winter right back to the conus. Winter is lurking and waiting to pounce. Of course if the trough digs in the west, winter won't be in east for a little while lol but there is nothing depressing about that plot in the big picture. Move the swath of zonal into Canada and we in some trouble. Serious trouble lol

yeah it's often warm and wet that week

Well said! One question I do have is there's been a lot of talk over the last several years of a fast flow. Not sure why we keep having that and why it's been such a major player for so long, but is there a chance that that will relax? Why are we having that fast flow happening over the last several winter seasons? Just trying to understand that part. Appreciate your insight as well

as long as its "cold enough" most of us older timers approve.

you're right. January 5th is the latest sunrise (~7:19 AM) then it gets earlier from there. Its like the 10th/11th when we start gaining by the minutes

Friday night And then Sunday morning believe at own risk lol

yeah if no snow please give me 55 degrees