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.4" here!

meh. we should be seeing more ensemble support but its not really panning out for the city proper.

Couple inches would be a nice holiday start.

Ensembles are starting to show snow for our area.

Agree More storms to come in December which should be favorable

I want to believe the euro is on to something. It’s been pretty steadfast. Would go a long way to improving spirits here. most other models confine the snow well NW

Write it down, case closed. Now all we need are is accurate start times.

Hey everyone, long time lurker, first time poster here. Dunno if this is the right topic for an introductory post (mods can move this elsewhere if that's the case) but I've quietly been around online WX circles for the good part of a decade now (as a member on Dr. Jeff Masters' blog and Storm2K), primarily focused on the tropics until recently. I have been slowly branching out to other avenues, in recent years once hurricane season goes dormant, particularly winter weather given my lifelong affinity for the flakes and what not. I know it hasn't been the greatest stretch over the past few years but hopefully we can finally score big this time around, it's been a while. Looking forward to endless hours of model watching with you all

Perfect jebwalk weather

One thing about the EPS mean that's a great sign going forward are the clown maps . When big numbers come up on the mean it means ENS are on to something big occurring in the next 15. Machine numbers this high uniformly in the means is a rare occurrence and I would say 90% of the time a biggie is on the horizon. Now about Tuesday. EPS look like gold here.

white rain for jersey city for an hour then rain

You'd have to believe the Euro has more data and later input time... and more reliable (at least I do). I am sort of surprised it doesn't amp. ECAI does amp and plenty of snow interior. I'll be watching AI temps at 18z and 00z//3 carefully for trends on AI. Banding of wet snow could be a problem for some tree branches just s of I84 in nw NJ sw CT.

Put me down for 1.5in here in Whitehall PA and I’ll gladly take that as an early season snow

It’s had some problems the past few years, but Euro is not as bad as people make it out to be.

Springfield getting demolished by very heavy snow and some thunder. I72 going to end up being a jackpot zone. I was not expecting that.

Canadian ensembles

Yea it’s all rain for us

This is so much fun. Let’s do this again this winter. Borderline blizz conditions in rural areas in the paign.

Just measured 7.1" in my yard. The heavier snow ahead of the low has moved in. The flakes are still small, but they are dense.

You new here?

Euro used to instill some confidence. It’s the only model getting anything appreciable here. I’m guessing it’s going to cave at some point.

Stackin’ flakes fast during the day in November. Chef’s kiss. Just shy of 4” already

12z Euro/CMC vs GFS in regards to cold and storminess. Could be a rough ride for the GFS.

METAR KORD 291851Z 13008KT 1/2SM R10L/2600V3000FT SN FZFG VV008 M03/M04 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP225 SNINCR 1/4 P0007 T10281039 $

Cassville, WI live camera: