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  2. Oddly enough, I think the GEM is most realistic, IMO.
  3. Rgem also Gfs also trended weaker. I wonder if its going to fold.
  4. Gotta admire the CMC. Giving us all snow entire event even down to SE PA.
  5. Canadian a little weaker, but also slighlty colder. Would be a decent event for many in SNE
  6. It’s kinda clear that this is a N and W thing at this point. Oh well, not too sad. We were playing with house money anyway.
  7. Looks like the trend tonight is towards less proficent cyclogensis, regardless of track...which isn't surprising. This isn't a pattern ripe for bombs.
  8. it's another ice storm (to rain) from the cmc. same output for the last 4 model runs of that. Euro likely to do the exact same thing it did at 18z as well
  9. Difference in gfs and cmc at h5 by hr 72 is laughable
  10. Cmc might come in flatter than 12z. Following the rgem.
  11. Different and weaker with main s/w. I’m still inclined to toss it.
  12. The biggest difference this run was definitely the cold side. Where it’s cold enough for snow it ended up pretty meh. Probably talking a 1/3 to 1/2 reduction
  13. I hope the radar really blossoms and fills in like models are suggesting. Trough seems to be approaching western NE. Isentropric lift should start increasing next few hours.
  14. Gfs is very warm still in SNE. QPF is best near low track so not much oomph in the colder air for heavier amounts.
  15. It’s just a lot weaker, not really south. the whole thing is just less impressive by a good margin
  16. CMC with it's usual ice storm, Euro with it's C-2" before rain and then maybe some back end snow, that's probably what will happen, you don't need to stay up, go to sleep now
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