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I wonder if his cold Jan is largely because of a prog for a very early SSWE followed by a lagged cold effect in Jan. I’d be quite content with this. Not having a warmer than normal La Niña winter in the majority of the SE including another cold Jan would be a victory!

It could change or not verify but I don’t see a way there can be any kind of positive outcome here if the Greenland block links up with SE ridging. That would be a disaster. We can’t have too much of a -PNA with the Greenland block or we risk this happening, like in 22-23.

Not super impressive but things are coated up.

My obs....COLD AF....and it took one day of the heat coming on to make me sick. Happens every year! I need a humidifier asap. What a completely unreasonable event yesterday!

The upcoming Sierra snowstorm is now progged to be much father south and a lot warmer, with a ton of rain even at the ski resorts like Mammoth and Palisades. They might have to move their opening dates to December, because it is so warm up there they can't even make artificial snow at night. Say hello to the La Nina.

It started super negative and flipped super positive. Guess we’ll see how it goes.

I was working in Camp Creek earlier today and took this picture around 2PM. It’s winter meets Fall! Still some color down low and color up top!

that November 18-20 storm has trended really south lol end of the run was kinda cool as well but it also showed flurries for the area tonight lots of things to love

The only problem is the Bz needs to drop south.

If 59mph at Islip is real, pretty sure there should’ve been a high wind warning. Today definitely should’ve been a wind advisory.

Spaceweather.com offers it.

Looks pretty impressive. Might’ve lied and may go out tonight. First impact should be in ~30m. If we can see it very locally… game on.

How do you get text alerts? Is there an app for this somewhere?

And once again this was supposed to happen. I see some doom and gloomy already starting.

Wasn't paying attention (snow does that, right?) so there was a record to report. The 36.3 degree high is a new 'cool minimum', beating 1996's 39 degrees.

I was down in Boston today and the forecast said snow was going to start snowing at 5. Wasn’t expecting to come home to 6” of powder! Scary drive lol, don’t have winter tires yet

Happy Hour GFS is back. Kind of...

I set up the ice skating rink tonight. Hope I don’t regret it lol, it’s quite early but it becomes a pain to do if there’s too much snow. Snow is really coming down now…

Yup

Must have been cold today. Top level down to 64 despite pellet stove running. Guess I didn’t have stove high enough.

I think I’m tomorrow night or bust. Would take a pretty strong signal in the next 2 hours to get me outside - don’t think these precursor CMEs were supposed to be too special. Probably see something from SNP. Think the hope is these destabilize the magnetosphere a bit and the one tomorrow pops off. Hopefully an added benefit of extended darkness is that we’ve got a larger window and can worry about timing a little less. Fingers crossed.

First CME imminent according to a text alert I just got.

Lock it in