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I’m tossing the NAM. Even the crazy GFS runs weren’t that amped.

who do you think has a better handle on the solution right now?

That area is where the drop in elevation starts out of Winchester. Could very well be wrong, but this setup has happened historically, much to your chagrin, so I went that route. I do think you could see an inch out that way, but better chance just north.

20.8 for my low this morning.

December of yore

Quick question, does anyone have suggestions for good YouTube weather forecasts? I watch WXrisk with DT. I was wondering if anybody had other people who do the overall picture as well.

Just got to market basket in Athol.and noticed they must of plowed last night.. Hopefully we can add bigly to that pile

WB 12Z RRFS is the NAM replacement, I think.

We about to be rockin’

This time of year, I’d be happy just to see flakes fly regardless if they amount to anything.

toss at your peril

Aren't the NAMs going away next month? I don't know why they don't just put them to rest.

now watch the next Euro's suite only bring the precip as far north as southern NY state - something is seriously wrong with some of these models..........is it GIGO (Garbage In/Garbage Out)??

Yeah, I would toss that... Maybe I'd take the Nam more seriously tomorrow night

Drew up this quick map to outline some of my thoughts for this storm. Constructive feedback is appreciated! Blue - All Snow expected, accumulations around 2-4" localized 4"+ Pink - Snow, mix, and rain expected. A sharp cutoff will develop here and a slushy 0-2" will fall before changing over to rain, some of which could be heavy Green - All rain. Perhaps maybe a light mix at onset but this will quickly change over. Air temps closer to the shore could even reach into the lower 50s. Some rain could be heavy at times

LOL @ these temp maps. Tells you all you need to know - inland runner vs ots:

DT’s map is going to

Nam and euro just a bit different at h5…

This looks like a great start! Most areas 20 miles inland should do well and maybe even closer to the coast. I’ll be away for this one but can’t complain given my storm today.

WB 12Z JMA looks like EURO.

So much for thinking a mere 24 hours ago I was pretty safe in Orange County from any change over. The bright side I will be in Saratoga Springs on Wednesday and should at least see a nice blanket of snow on the ground there. But it's weather three days out, so who knows.

Its just my opinion but when the SOI dropped pretty good around the 23rd then rose before Thanksgiving and the dropped again after,this pattern could should more than likely look like this into East Asis into the first week of Dec,it wouldnt effect our weather until right before the mid month of Dec 29 Nov 2025 1011.21 1008.95 -3.95 14.40 8.89 28 Nov 2025 1011.09 1008.70 -3.12 14.81 8.88 27 Nov 2025 1011.74 1008.55 1.97 15.52 9.00 26 Nov 2025 1012.11 1006.05 20.23 16.24 9.20 25 Nov 2025 1009.58 1005.50 7.63 16.34 9.25 24 Nov 2025 1007.56 1004.90 -1.40 17.10 9.38 23 Nov 2025 1009.73 1000.85 38.17 17.97 9.60 22 Nov 2025 1011.59 1003.75 31.56 17.51 9.41

It’s just the NAM at the end of its range I mean what could go wrong?

At hr78 it has a 988 parked over HFD. lol gotta love the NAM

18z NAM is still super amped