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Definitely with an negative epo pattern

Yea, if it's snowing at 4'K in n VT, it will surely be great in DC. Idiot.

We’re definitely used to here with snow covering lush lawns.

Rains to Maines is a lock multiple times

poor thing

My winters began sucking before Tom left.

That February pattern looks like shit the blinds, but if Arctic air is entrenched to our NW, we can get some CAD events.

Words & phrases I don’t want to hear this winter: -Compression -Too much confluence -Not enough confluence -Dual low -Perfect track rainer -Rains to Maines -Hudson runner -D10 -Congrats New Orleans

I think the green really does look great in the snow. run

Should we mention CO2 again?

Just today the CFS and GEFS weeklies join the colder forecast for December. ECMWF weekly had been consistent which added confidence even before others joined the chorus. Agree it will take about a week (2nd or 3rd front) to chip away at the SER that builds next week through early Thanksgiving week. CFS and extrapolating mid-range ensembles points to right after Thanksgiving. Same for some AI stuff. GEFS and ECMWF weeklies are slower more like 1 Dec. While the MJO promotes the slower timing, a Strato warming event could promote the faster timing. SSW is normally the slower process but it's already in progress. MJO has to tee up the warmer phases first. Physical Science Lab Asia pressure and temps has not really set up yet, no surprise with the MJO. North America has a ways to go. Eastern Siberia shows very early signs. Rest of Russia and China no signal (bearish or bullish) so overall those charts are not set up yet. PS @Carvers Gapyou'd prolly love this site given your post about pressure / temps on the winter spec. Maps won't load for me, so maybe you're already looking there. PSL Map Room: Global Circulation (Quick Menu): NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory

Wonder if we’ll ever see that. Game uniforms should be a darker Bahama Blues since that is what we get now.

33.3 imby/Columbia Friday morning

15 below in 1934 for the city 6 below in 1933.. minus 1 minus 3 in the 1930's early 1940's 8 below 4 below..

It’s extremely difficult getting 2 days in a row of sunshine near the mountains. I’m becoming envious of locations further south and east. They even get more snow now lol.

It's bad luck I agree, JFK on the ocean had TWO events over 4 inches in February 2024, one of them over 6 inches.

I feel like the unis would look amazing in a legit snow game. There’s something arctic looking about them with the white and slate blue/grey.

More clouds than I expected.

After 30+ years living in this region, that's really the ticket to enjoying winter in these parts

LOL, it's been in the 60's up here in the Estes Valley all week. Frankly, I am not complaining yet as I have a suspicion that that winter will come on strong in December.

Typical LN cool season pattern with more dominant subtropical ridging influence over the southern plains states. Hopefully, it'll back off more by Thanksgiving (more troughing coming back into the picture).

That to me looks like a pattern more conducive to overrunning, as any major phasing attempt(s) is/are likely to be sheared out by a compressed field.