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34.4. HRRR basically has it correct now, but the 18z was too high and the 18z NAM was way too high.

Yep, Even an evening bump for down this way.

18z Euro makes a valiant attempt at Dec 5-6.

You're not going to like this, but he's at an all you can eat buffet.

What is your location? .

Expect some solid pics of the 4-6”!

GFS has a cool little Dec 12 storm.

I’m in the bow of the Edmund Fitzgerald. Gone

Yup. Fail here. Thread starter fired.

Dew point is 18. This doesn’t feel like the typical warm bust when we were 50 the day before and sitting here with a dealing already in the upper 20s.

The radiational cooling is putting in work right now. If someone put a super-soaker to my head and made me call 2hr delay or not at this hour, I'd call 2hr delay. When the clouds move back in we'll likely rebound. This doesn't change what is going on upstairs though. If anything this just means higher chance of FZRA to start.

Like going through stages of grief Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Clear 30f dew point 15f

But we actually can

Just checked all the mesos forecasts of 2m temp at valid 00z 12/2 (which is right now), and they are all too warm. The closest one is fv3 Doesn’t mean anything about upstairs, but surface is colder than forecast.

https://youtu.be/73gVsgkYPQ8?si=zyvibHY7Qu7La3x1

The 18z Euro improved over 12z for Harrisburg & York.

Temperature has actually gone up the past hour here at the house. Was 42 now it's 45.

33/24, wet bulb 29. a lot colder than i thought to be honest.

as soon as the clouds start rolling in later the temps will stop falling and might even rise a couple of degrees towards morning.

Here you go again with no snow Going down the only road Bryce has known

My high was 45, and then dropped like a rock.

He’s going down with the ship….careening to the bottom of the North Atlantic…3 miles down.

We still can’t figure out what happens tomorrow lmao…. But that’s encouraging.