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This is a classic, sometimes encountered. A grudge match between HP to our north and moisture to our south wanting to come north. The models and the prof mets. at the NWS, TWC, ACCU. are totally confused. But, confusion is the best way to go. This will all wash out in the next 72 hours.
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Yup. Today is another one. Anytime the central air is off during the day in Jul or Aug…it is a big win.
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1. I see no evidence that we are trying to deplete all fossil fuel energy before switching over. And who are you referring to? Americans? The West? Asia? The whole world? 2. 90% of the problem IS from outside the USA. The United States produces about 10% of global emissions annually. 3. The Earth doesn't CARE about per capita pollution. It doesn't care if 100 people or 10 billion people are producing the greenhouse gases. All it knows and feels is the total amount emitted. 4. China installed about 100GW of energy from coal in only ten years, which going by the average sized coal plant translates to roughly 250 new coal plants. It doesn't matter if they also increased their renewable energy. Remember the Earth doesn't care about that, it only cares about total emissions, and China built a record amount of literally the worst type of energy. 5. Since renewable technology took off and was working at scale, we have had a Democratic president for 12 of the last 16 years. 6. People are putting profits ahead of the environment all over the world, and especially the third world. 7. We are currently running a planetary scale geoengineering experiment RIGHT NOW. What else would you call altering the atmospheric composition of an entire planet? Letting this experiment run its course is simply not an option. 8. I don't think we'll get to 800ppm, most of the world except Africa has fallen below replacement rate. 9. I am glad that you acknowledge that fossil fuels brought about the modern technological age and vastly improved humanity's standard of living. 10. In my ideal world there is no fossil fuel use anywhere in the world. But I'm not holding out hope. I think annual aerosol injections to bring temps down to 1C cooler than present will give humanity enough time to transition. I really think this is the only practical solution.
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We tried to tell him
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On the flip side would you call it a colossal success if it nails it?
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Canada smoke smell now here
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Cloudy the last 2 days with, at most, some periodic drizzle. Next.
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Cary got smacked. We’re just shy of 4” here and looks like some areas doubled that around Cary
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
AStorms13 replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
I know it doesn't mean much since its 2 weeks out, but holy hell the most recent Ensemble lit up like crazy -
We do have plenty of options that WILL work. But the problem is the stakeholders that make massive amounts of money off fossil fuels don't want to change until the reserves they have purchased are fully depleted. 90% of the issues is NOT from outside the USA. The USA is still the second-biggest producer of greenhouse gasses with a relatively small population. Our per capita emission is around 14.2 tonnes per person, whereas China is 8.9, and India 1.9. Despite the fact that China is basically the manufacturer for the world (which does need to change). Yes, China has added more coal in the past decade, but it is also producing more and more renewables each year. (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jun/26/china-breaks-more-records-with-massive-build-up-of-wind-and-solar-power). China is likely at its peak gasoline consumption now as it has massively electrified its vehicle fleet (https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/chinas-fuel-demand-may-have-passed-its-peak-iea-says-2025-02-13/). Unfortunately for us, we have a president that does not want to build any wind power or any renewables. (https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c15l3knp4xyo) (https://ctmirror.org/2025/08/04/trump-administration-cancels-plans-to-develop-new-offshore-wind-projects/). And is also actively trying to destroy any research on greenhouse gasses (https://www.npr.org/2025/08/04/nx-s1-5453731/nasa-carbon-dioxide-satellite-mission-threatened). The technology exists for us to decarbonize rapidly, and it will not all be from one area. Many say to ban all oil-fired boilers in homes, but the fastest way to decarbonize heat in the Northeast is not getting rid of oil burners but switching them to primarily biofuels. We have the technology, but just like people were wary of electricity back when it was being brought into the house, we are facing a highly anti-science environment right now. Sadly, our present-day life is really reminding me of Idiocracy. People will put profits above all else. Only economists know that growth is infinite on a finite planet. Geoengineering is also highly risky. A miscalculation could be an extinction-level event, although the same can be said for the pathway we are on now. Once global CO2 levels hit 800 ppm, we are likely looking at a dead ocean. We could hit this by 2100 on our current track. The other thing I always tell my students is to look around... All this human development is in the last 200 years for the most part. Our lives have drastically improved, but now it is time to make sure we still have a future. Literally go back just two human generations, and most families in the USA did not have a car for every driving-age person. They may have had 1 for the whole family. We are incredibly lucky to be alive today when, all things being equal, life has never been easier to live (obviously, there are still struggles, but we aren't hunting every day, building fires, salting our meat to keep it longer, etc.). We have refrigerators, HVAC, cars, trains, etc. Now we just need to encourage engineers and scientists to help us build a better, more sustainable future.
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Guys, if the Euro AI gets the Cane at 354hr wrong, toss it in the dumpster. Twitter guy says so
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I’m not an expert but it looks typical poleward EPO ridge Nina pattern imo. There are two typical canonical Nina long wave patterns and neither is “snowy” but the more poleward pacific ridge pattern is preferable and does shift whatever cold there is into the east more. Problem is both them to be dryer and lack the gulf storms we need to have a snowy winter. But a good example of the difference is for Baltimore a poleward ridge Nina has a median snowfall of about 14” and a flat ridge Nina median is 7”. One is bad and the other is awful so we take the bad option. I excluded 1996 from these numbers because it skews everything given the small sample size and extreme results Some extra observations: I keep hearing don’t worry about the warm everywhere look but over the last 10 years we’ve had a lot of warm everywhere results so…. Also yes the LW flow looks decent but recently a decent LW pattern absent a good STJ gets us simply bad snow results vs the god awful snowless results of some winters recently. So purely based on this I’d say it’s not indicating a total non winter like 2020 and 2023 but most definitely not hinting this is the year we break out of our funk either. It implies likely a typical Nina with likely snowfall in the 7-16” range in the 95 corridor.
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I think acid rain and ozone were a lot easier to collaborate on and solve. Those also caused direct visible damage as well as a clear threat. They also weren't issues that if solved would severely damage countries' economies and standards of living. There are 300 million people in India that defecate outdoors. Their poor standard of living is one reason their carbon footprint is half the global average. I also don't like excusing or allowing other countries to continue to pollute with impunity as if modern forms of energy production aren't available to them. Why couldn't China just build more solar farms or wind mills instead of installing 100 GW of coal powered energy over the last ten years? That's roughly 250 coal powered power plants. Meanwhile the West has built none in 25 years and more are being decommissioned every year We can't solve this problem when 90% of it has nothing to do with us. I feel like people aren't seriously interested in solving this issue when focusing only on the US and speaking in uniliteral terms as if we are the ones that, if we just went carbon neutral, we'd stop climate change. There's no carrot to get other countries to stop greenhouse gas emissions. We need a stick. And if the stick doesn't work, we need geoengineering. And the easiest and most cost effective way to do it is with aerosols. I fear that we'll all be right here, a bunch of old men saying the exact same thing 30 years from now, with nothing being done because people are holding out hope that by some miracle we will get everyone around the world to become carbon neutral. Meanwhile we lost 30 years of aerosol injections to at least get temps back down to reasonable levels while we try to solve this thing. Even if we did go carbon neutral in 30 years let's say, the greenhouse gases are all still in the air. Aerosols are a way to stop the warming and even reverse it while the world transitions over to clean energy and solves the problem of carbon sequestering at scale.
- Today
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Let’s get a cat5 over mara epstein lago.
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Lol... Given the time frame, I'd call it a success if even a stray thunderstorm formed 354 hours out... Seeing a constant flow posts like me; and they we wonder why the science gets mocked... If this keeps up, RFK Jr is going to get appointed to head NWS!
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It took all day, but just crossed 68 here (68.6) at 3:30 pm, so there will not be a record 'cool max' set for the day, although close. Record is 68.0 from 1993 and 2004. Cloudy all day, but only sprinkles from the sky.