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Yeah it did, it seemed like though when we radiated last night, models were way too aggressive to erode it. Even here.
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Saugerties, just off the Thruway. Kind of a different world despite not really being that far away
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Close to an inch of rain. Cold puddles. Excellent day to be inside. Getting a tiny glimpse of clearing rn, just a little blue and a few sun-illuminated clouds. Moody sunset alert (?)
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Yeah I did not expect to be near and now on cold side of CF. It’s a shame it torched just aloft.
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Time to go out and clean before hockey. Glad I got my high noon for the game tonight the other day instead of waiting for tonight
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The 18z RGEM is worth a look if you live in E TN from Knoxville northeastward and also the Plateau as this likely trends northwest. -
Didn’t Tip opine on a cold pool of air to the NW that was going to act as a pseudo antecedent?
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
ORD received 8.4" of snow on November 29th, which broke the record snowfall total for the date of 2.4" (1953). ORD received 8.4" of snow on November 29th, which broke the November all-time calendar day record snowfall total of 8.0" (November 6th, 1951). Top 5 November Snowstorms 1. 12.0" - Nov 25-26th, 1895 2. 11.2" - Nov 20-21, 2015 3. 9.3" - Nov 6-7, 1951 4. 8.7" - Nov 29-30, 2025 5. 8.6" - Nov 26-27, 1975 (6. 8.4" - Nov 25-26, 2018) -
Top 5 November Snowstorms 1. 12.0" - Nov 25-26th, 1895 2. 11.2" - Nov 20-21, 2015 3. 9.3" - Nov 6-7, 1951 4. 8.7" - Nov 29-30, 2025 5. 8.6" - Nov 26-27, 1975 (6. 8.4" - Nov 25-26, 2018)
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Chicago Weather Records Tracking
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Top 5 November Snowstorms 1. 12.0" - Nov 25-26th, 1895 2. 11.2" - Nov 20-21, 2015 3. 9.3" - Nov 6-7, 1951 4. 8.7" - Nov 29-30, 2025 5. 8.6" - Nov 26-27, 1975 (6. 8.4" - Nov 25-26, 2018) -
Kick-Off '25-'26 Winter Storm Obs
CT Valley Snowman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
A few catpaws mixed in but primarily zr and 32. -
First sub-40 high at 38.9°. .87” of rain for the event.
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Kick-Off '25-'26 Winter Storm Obs
NorEastermass128 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
37F -
That band coming up from the south looks great! Could be a fun couple hours
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About 3". Sleet mixing in. 31F
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Yep: Over to sleet here after what looks like 2-3’’.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
For the rest of the storm, the HRRR is much more bullish for up here compared to the RAP. I know which I'm riding. -
Heaviest snow I've seen all day so far now in westfield. 100% snow again here. Heading out now to hit the plow route in Simsbury
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I have to give credit to the HRRR for the little weenie streak on the west side of Quabbin (linked below) even if it was a bit too high in general. We had just barely enough lat / lng / alt
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Very icy outside....31F right now. Epic fail on the sfc temps. Not totally uncommon to happen but a bit more surprising since we had no high to the north. But that sfc low kind of elongating to the northeast probably really turned ageo flow more northerly.
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Kick-Off '25-'26 Winter Storm Obs
AstronomyEnjoyer replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
25.7°, 4.9" new. In a bit of a lull for the time being. -
Top 10 Snowiest November's 1. 14.8" - 1940 2. 14.5" - 1895 3. 14.3" - 1951 4. 12.7" - 2018 5. 11.2" - 2015 6. 10.8" - 1975 7. 10.4" - 2025 8. 7.6" - 1953 9. 7.5" - 1893 10. 7.1" - 1978
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Chicago Weather Records Tracking
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Top 10 Snowiest November's 1. 14.8" - 1940 2. 14.5" - 1895 3. 14.3" - 1951 4. 12.7" - 2018 5. 11.2" - 2015 6. 10.8" - 1975 7. 10.4" - 2025 8. 7.6" - 1953 9. 7.5" - 1893 10. 7.1" - 1978 -
Dry with lots of up and down cold my way with that pattern. I'd like to see even some rain at this point.
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Yep, the NAM seems to have a better handle on the mid-level warm layer compared to the HRRR. Having said that, it looks like the northward progress of the mix line MAY have halted or even been knocked back a bit over Essex County MA...but could be just a temporary trend. Hard to say at this point if we have a snowy or an icy evening coming up.
