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Have a work trip to Portland next week with two employees flying in from LA and Phoenix, hoping they get to see some flakes while they're out.

Was perfect timing as well. Early evening, perfectly clear skies, and the moon didn't rise until almost midnight.

Stay extremely safe.

We recently got the big wave break from the record low east of Newfoundland. This feature wasn’t showing up near the start of November. So the much stronger blocking lead to the pattern this week being cooler than originally forecast. But what hasn’t changed is the very fast Pacific flow. This leads to the persistent cutter, hugger, snd suppressed Southern stream storm tracks. A few days ago the models were hinting at a transfer going south of Long Island. Now the storm has shifted north with a warmer track. Another recurring feature has been a trough to our west during storm time which is continuing. So going into December I am more interested in what happens with the storm track rather than what kind of temperature departures the long range models are showing. Since as we saw last winter, if the storm tracks are warm even in a slightly colder overall pattern it will lead to below average snowfall. But we have plenty of time to see how things go once we get into the beginning of December. Weekend low shifted further north New run Old run

It would be amazing to get a 3"-6" Thanksgiving feast Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Caribbean missiles meant for boats landing in Russia?

Will we lose the grid today?

I think it was October 24. That was the real show. Then there was one in May 6 months earlier. Sounded like around 11:30 it really popped off, but I was asleep.

Aurora was visible without a camera last night. With 2-3 second exposure great pictures. Skies were pretty clear at 1130

Nothing really exciting ahead.

Yeah 2003 was insane. I still remember the traffic jam it caused. I had no idea until I looked up from my car and was like wtf!!

Light snow falling

Low of 36. No second freeze

I’ll text my kid. She’s at ODU. If she saw snow she’ll tell me

The past 2 bigger events have been nice and visible to the naked eye here, but 2003 blows this away. It’s like comparing my 34” in 12hrs in Dec 2020 to my 34 flakes yesterday.

BWI: 18.5 DCA: 12.0 IAD: 19.0 RIC: 10.5 Tie Breaker SBY: 8.0

Sharp rise in momentum starting to percolate into the circulation. Good stuff.

the Pacific jet is going to retract and shift equatorward after its poleward extension next week, which should lead to the -EPO that we're waiting for. I have pretty high confidence in this -EPO developing; the progression makes sense. BN to much BN temps in the East would follow into early Dec trough near Japan/HI are also old-school signs of a favorable Pacific pattern

the Pacific jet is going to retract and shift equatorward after its poleward extension next week, which should lead to the -EPO that we're waiting for. I have pretty high confidence in this -EPO developing; the progression makes sense. BN to much BN temps in the East would follow into early Dec trough near Japan/HI are also old-school signs of a favorable Pacific pattern

the Pacific jet is going to retract and shift equatorward after its poleward extension next week, which should lead to the -EPO that we're waiting for. I have pretty high confidence in this -EPO developing; the progression makes sense. BN to much BN temps in the East would follow into early Dec trough near Japan/HI are also old-school signs of a favorable Pacific pattern

the Pacific jet is going to retract and shift equatorward after its poleward extension next week, which should lead to the -EPO that we're waiting for. I have pretty high confidence in this -EPO developing; the progression makes sense. BN to much BN temps in the East would follow into early Dec trough near Japan/HI are also old-school signs of a favorable Pacific pattern

yeah, you have +PNA the day of but -PNA beforehand. the +PNA is a transient response to the low heights off the WC. retrograding -NAO is a must (which is why i hate when people totally downplay the impact of the NAO)

So wait…. Was it visible to naked eye? Better or worse than May? Worth monitoring throughout the day?

Here’s hoping tonight is good?