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Anyways the Skynet ensembles have a much better H5 look towards the end vs EPS. Hopefully it’s right.

The guy talks about back breaking summer in late July from a CFS prog, then says winter “ain’t over till it’s over” because the gfs at hr 384 has a blue dot over Mount Pocono PA in late April. Get the eff out of here.

Most snow I ever had on 10/30 is 2011. RED FLAG

First melt of the season. I love it! Don't worry May 1st is right around the corner.

32.2

More garbage

You forgot one….”If it wasn’t for the frieken Scooter Shit streak.” Now it’s complete.

Lol... I was just going to respond to his email saying that this is one of your favorite phrases to say. Lol

I'd just as soon the cold arrive around/after December 7th, then hopefully give us 6 weeks into late January.

Definitely with an negative epo pattern

Yea, if it's snowing at 4'K in n VT, it will surely be great in DC. Idiot.

We’re definitely used to here with snow covering lush lawns.

Rains to Maines is a lock multiple times

poor thing

My winters began sucking before Tom left.

That February pattern looks like shit the blinds, but if Arctic air is entrenched to our NW, we can get some CAD events.

Words & phrases I don’t want to hear this winter: -Compression -Too much confluence -Not enough confluence -Dual low -Perfect track rainer -Rains to Maines -Hudson runner -D10 -Congrats New Orleans

I think the green really does look great in the snow. run

Should we mention CO2 again?

Just today the CFS and GEFS weeklies join the colder forecast for December. ECMWF weekly had been consistent which added confidence even before others joined the chorus. Agree it will take about a week (2nd or 3rd front) to chip away at the SER that builds next week through early Thanksgiving week. CFS and extrapolating mid-range ensembles points to right after Thanksgiving. Same for some AI stuff. GEFS and ECMWF weeklies are slower more like 1 Dec. While the MJO promotes the slower timing, a Strato warming event could promote the faster timing. SSW is normally the slower process but it's already in progress. MJO has to tee up the warmer phases first. Physical Science Lab Asia pressure and temps has not really set up yet, no surprise with the MJO. North America has a ways to go. Eastern Siberia shows very early signs. Rest of Russia and China no signal (bearish or bullish) so overall those charts are not set up yet. PS @Carvers Gapyou'd prolly love this site given your post about pressure / temps on the winter spec. Maps won't load for me, so maybe you're already looking there. PSL Map Room: Global Circulation (Quick Menu): NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory

Wonder if we’ll ever see that. Game uniforms should be a darker Bahama Blues since that is what we get now.

33.3 imby/Columbia Friday morning