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Yeah the Nam is classic zonked I think.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2025/md2240.html hotness. Best November storm of my life. No doubt.

If I could bet on that map I'm hammering the under for Boston.

Stratton just exhaled

Yeah the latest guidance has a weaker than average polar vortex into mid Jan.

Prepare to Qualify

At hr 75 or whatever it is, we look but do not endorse regardless of whether it’s snowy or not. If things trend that way over the next day, then we sit up a little more.

" 1st Guess" ....lol

I probably just jinxed the storm - just finished putting snow stakes along the front lawn near the street and test fired up the snow thrower.

I’m tossing the NAM. Even the crazy GFS runs weren’t that amped.

who do you think has a better handle on the solution right now?

That area is where the drop in elevation starts out of Winchester. Could very well be wrong, but this setup has happened historically, much to your chagrin, so I went that route. I do think you could see an inch out that way, but better chance just north.

20.8 for my low this morning.

December of yore

Quick question, does anyone have suggestions for good YouTube weather forecasts? I watch WXrisk with DT. I was wondering if anybody had other people who do the overall picture as well.

Just got to market basket in Athol.and noticed they must of plowed last night.. Hopefully we can add bigly to that pile

WB 12Z RRFS is the NAM replacement, I think.

We about to be rockin’

This time of year, I’d be happy just to see flakes fly regardless if they amount to anything.

toss at your peril

Aren't the NAMs going away next month? I don't know why they don't just put them to rest.

now watch the next Euro's suite only bring the precip as far north as southern NY state - something is seriously wrong with some of these models..........is it GIGO (Garbage In/Garbage Out)??

Yeah, I would toss that... Maybe I'd take the Nam more seriously tomorrow night

Drew up this quick map to outline some of my thoughts for this storm. Constructive feedback is appreciated! Blue - All Snow expected, accumulations around 2-4" localized 4"+ Pink - Snow, mix, and rain expected. A sharp cutoff will develop here and a slushy 0-2" will fall before changing over to rain, some of which could be heavy Green - All rain. Perhaps maybe a light mix at onset but this will quickly change over. Air temps closer to the shore could even reach into the lower 50s. Some rain could be heavy at times