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I’ll never forget there was some suppressed storm years ago in the Mid-Atlantic, and somebody from RIC posted about southern VA getting crushed in the main tracking thread. They almost started a civil war lol.

This Sun system is really just a vigorous shortwave moving in a fast chaotic pattern. There’s a chance we’re close enough north of it to be snowy, but also a chance it’s more suppressed crap or too amped. We won’t really know until within 72hrs or maybe even 60. Depends on the placement of the incoming arctic blast/trough and track of the shortwave as it comes in.

Similar in Clifton Forge...I measured hair over 5" on cars and deck around 7pm last night.

Scooter shit streak. Add it to the list

12z Icon looks decent. Gfs lost system. Canadian drives s/w up into Maine. Tells me what I need to know. We stay the course.

wasn't Feb of 82 one of the KUs we got? I thought 82 or 83 because I remember everyone freaking out because it wasn't far removed from 78

Yeah same season....April '82 was the cold blizzard.

12Z so far looking like the Eagles offence

I shouldn't have a spine left if i received all the snow that the GGEM has had.

This was a really fun post to read

Wasn’t that also the Philly to Boston April storm?

That was a big winter and quite cold....esp January '82. Very cold month with decent snow. Same month as the Air Florida crash into the Potomic with lots of ice in the river. Dec '81 was very snowy in New England both north and south.

yeah I wasn't sure what I was thinking there, the plot showed the whole month, made me think it was later date, it was early my brain wasn't working

IMO, La Niña will fade during January. It still has some life left in it.

Canadian is a continuation of what we’ve been seeing for weeks. Clipper is potent, but tracks through NNE and rains SNE.

12z GFS still favoring a southern track, with the heaviest snows staying south of Chicago.

Does anyone remember the winter of 81-82? The Mansfield stake is tracking it very closely so far. (Not a basis to make predictions but it made me realize I don't remember much about that winter. Though to be fair to me I was living in NJ and in 7th grade.) https://matthewparrilla.com/mansfield-stake/

That would mean something favorable.

1989 is so glaring on that. I had a job over that winter semester break working at a fish hatchery in Nashua, tagging salmon fry. That was fun

Just take the mean of the GFS and GGEM

mixed bag with 12z guidance on the potential saturday event, icon and ggem p hot, gfs more of sliding duster

Cold across the Yukon Territory of Canada this morning is extremely impressive. Temperatures -35 to -40 over a fairly large area with a -52 at Beaver Creek. Impressive cold pool stretching from interior Siberia over the pole into western Canada.

Amen. This would get IAD, DCA, and BWI to 100% snow climo for the month.

crazy what a difference a few dozen miles makes

Cmc further north. Rain to SNE.