Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. We each have our different perspectives. If you look at Don's charts and compare today vs 100 years ago, there has been 4-5F warming in both the warmest and coldest days; but, the 100-year path is different. The warmest 1% have had fairly steady warming but the coldest days have been a roller coaster. Despite the roller coaster, the coldest days are still warmer vs 100 years ago. What Don's analysis indicates to me is that we have to be careful in picking our start and end dates when looking at winter cold extremes. Metro and City airport have a long overlap period. During that period Metro is roughly 2F colder than the City airport so any analysis that starts with the city airport and ends with Metro will be contain both a station shift and a weather trend. If you don't account for the station change you won't get the correct weather trend. I would need to see more data to be convinced that the midwest winters are warming at a slower rate. I haven't seen that in any study or apples-to-apples data comparison. The only geographic trend I am aware of is somewhat faster warming further north. Canada is warming faster than the US for instance. Found one study when googling midwest winters, which looked at midwest winter storm tracks between 1959 and 2021. The findings aren't surprising. The midwest winter storm track has shifted north and the midwest is getting wetter and warmer storms. Could help explain why some midwest stations are getting more snow. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL109890
  3. What's new? Another Grey weekend #yearwithoutasummer rolls on
  4. It’s good that they have a continuous record at Ann Arbor since it shows a similar long term trend is Wayne County. The NCDC takes into account station moves like Detroit compared to the rest of the county. As you said, January has seen the slowest warming since 1895. But December and February have warmed at a faster pace. This makes sense since the falls have also been warming. So it takes longer for winter to get started and the winters across the U.S. are getting shorter with more warming in February. December +4.3°/Century January +2.0°F/Century February +5.1°F/Century
  5. Weather World otersnpSdot2ttli017cclml9uh9hm4i64i1ic2m3u4a1344uhtc707m54ii · Big heat should stay a bay for the final days of July with the pattern favoring a few days of below average temperatures thanks for a northwesterly flow. With a "ring of fire" set up to our west, there should be multiple chances for rain in PA, but it's hard to pinpoint timing.
  6. I'm off, but now I'm kinda itching to put myself up for OT.
  7. Today
  8. That what I’m wondering I just posted a map tf It’s gonna continue to rapidly warm imo
  9. Looks like SLK hit at least 40F, a couple 39s scattered in on 5-min data.
  10. Back to 1894-5, I have DJ of 1917-8 and 1976-7 as the coldest DJ in the E 1/2 of the US:
  11. 1916-17 was one of the strongest la ninas of all time, on the level of years like 1973-74, 1988-89, and 2010-11. 1917 was when global temperatures were at their minimum (2024, the warmest year on record, was nearly 2C warmer than 1917). I'd be willing to bet that either 1916-17 or 1917-18 was the coldest winter on record CONUS.
  12. The E ATL avg anom has warmed as of 7/17 significantly: But OHC there as of 7/15 is still near the avg though climo warmer:
  13. Just back in, Happy Birthday @MillvilleWx! Had several rounds of showers and thundershowers. But, much like the past 7-9 days a small amount in the gauge for all the noise and light shows. I've had 2.14" fall since the 4th, but 1.55" of that happened on the 10th and only .32" in last seven days. My dad (in his low 80's) said today he couldn't remember a summer like this where it thundered and lightning for hours every day for over a week with so little to show for it from the sky.
  14. Thank for the Bday wishes (As well as you @Maestrobjwa!! Enjoy Vermont and the amazing period of nice weather in those parts. Those cooler mornings will be bliss. Take it all in!
  15. Very nice night out. Windows open and 'splits on Fan mode. 59/53 here while PWM is at 63/54 just 3 miles away. I radiate as best one can this close to the coast.
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...