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  2. 90-100%. EPS smoking that good stuff today
  3. Lake enhancement showing up all along the WI shoreline. It might work in a negative way though, with surface temps running a bit higher and snowfall ratios likely a bit lower as well.
  4. u know it's getting serious when bluewave lets out a hint of optimism.
  5. 5 days ago there was barely the hint of a ripple of a shortwave across the central US... And a big trof along the west coast.
  6. IMHO out in the Pac there is alot of stuff going on with Rossby and Kelvin waves,this is why all the models seem to be struggling with the RMM,even the JMA which has been more tightly bunched is now showing more spread today.You'll more than likely in the next few days see some swings in modeling
  7. Snow looks like it's going to end early here at least. This definitely was an underperformer for me. Was supposed to get 8-12in. Idk if I will even hit that range. Snow quality was a killer early on then all this good banding really hammered I72 south of me. Looking at radar the system seems to be moving very fast.
  8. Very fine pixie dust coming down, just enough for black ice on many rural roads. Started around 11:30, have a compacted half inch or so. Should be picking up here soon.
  9. For early December this is great, but I recall some epic means last season that produced nothing. Not sure if I’ll do a map today but I’m currently thinking C-2 coast including most of New London County and 2-5 elsewhere.
  10. If things continue to pan out as they have thus far, ORD is on track to have a top 5 November snowstorm on record.
  11. Ya don’t recall seeing the ensemble means this snowy on all ensembles in early to mid December. Multiple threats to track, Howell we can cash in on 1 or 2.
  12. It looks like you are going to have to be 40+ miles N and NW of NYC (Orange, Sussex, Putnam) to get into accumulating snow from this one
  13. If surprize snow does fall,this is the week historically for it. It might even snow a little tomm am. Who really knows anymore?
  14. Only thing that has varied, and it huge, is the intensity and mid levels.At any rate even a 2 inch cover here would be a great start. Tomorrow's system was at day 5 was a possible snowstorm but alas its dumping at Ohio State Michigan game. We cut we bleed
  15. Ensembles are starting to show snow for our area.
  16. I want to believe the euro is on to something. It’s been pretty steadfast. Would go a long way to improving spirits here. most other models confine the snow well NW
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