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even more nastiness, yikes: Flash Flood Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 540 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025 DCC001-MDC031-033-VAC059-200015- /O.CON.KLWX.FF.W.0115.000000T0000Z-250720T0015Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia DC-Montgomery MD-Prince Georges MD-Fairfax VA- 540 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY, PRINCE GEORGES AND FAIRFAX COUNTIES... At 540 PM EDT, emergency management reported thunderstorms producing heavy rain in Emergency management reports water rescues in Takoma Park and Silver Spring area. Flood sensors on SLigo Creek at SLigo Creek Parkway and New Hampshire Avenue show a 10 ft rise in 30 mins. . Between 2 and 3.5 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 30 minutes. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Emergency management reported. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Bethesda... College Park... Greenbelt... Langley Park... Beltsville... Bladensburg... Fort Totten... American Legion Bridge... University of Maryland... Potomac... North Bethesda... Landover... Hyattsville... Takoma Park... Wolf Trap... East Riverdale... Great Falls... Adelphi... Kemp Mill... New Carrollton...

Probably another mini heat wave shot for some Thurs - Sat next week.

I suspect meeting in person and discussing weather/climate would throw some unexpected surprises at people, for the better. Its a little more difficult when you are interpreting tone in typed words. Again I had no ill intent towards you. Years ago I met Alek (a lakes poster) at a Tigers/Cubs game and he wasn't anything like it expected (he was way nicer).

Still pouring in Great Falls. Creek below our house has turned into the Colorado River.

Managed a high of 82F here today. Dewpoint up to 60 now. still very comfortable

As I said 2 hrs. ago, I would not bet the bank on all storms skirting south of D.C. Short-range atmospherics guided me elsewhere........................... I nailed it...............

We are in NW. Moved our daughter into her apt today. Came out of the grocery store and it was pouring. Stopped her now but wondering how and when we want to head back to Frederick as that line is sitting right over the Beltway.

Wow that cluster of storms running along the topside of the DC Beltway is nasty.

Just south of this storm in Silver Spring. Another super loud one. Gotta be lots of lightning.

Im hoping this coming months bill will be better. Our old window a/c was struggling till we replaced it with a new one.

Got two rotating cells here in W Michigan. Ottowa County now severe warned. Newaygo not warned yet.

Woooooo.... the radar surprised me. I just noticed what looks like a rain train headed right towards my yard. Why not.. what's one more flood event before the dry week ahead.

Some garden variety drought relief incoming. There is a screw-gap between two more solid MCS areas though. Best rains probably missing a few miles north and west of MBY, but at least they need rain too.

My way out there take on the Ravens this season? I do think something dumb will happen in the playoffs again. Why? Because Lamar Jackson has been following Peyton Manning's playoff record almost to a T--and they are both 3-5 going into their 8th year. What happened with Manning that year? He went one and done in the playoffs and dropped to 3-6...but then the NEXT year he finally won it all...at age 30. Lamar will also be 30 by the time the 2026 playoffs next year. AND...it'll be the Raven's 30th season. So all that to say...I think we could be a year too early, lol Now if we win at least one playoff game THIS season? That would break the cycle and maybe it is this year. But given the trend over the first 7 seasons? I doubt it, lol

A few parts of the region could see a shower or thundershower this evening or overnight. Tomorrow will be steamy with highs in the middle and perhaps upper 80s. A few of the hot spots could reach 90°. Additional showers and thunderstorms are possible tomorrow evening into Monday morning as a cold front moves across the region. Behind the front, it will turn somewhat cooler and much less humid through the middle of next week. Monday through Wednesday should feature bright sunshine, low humidity, and pleasant temperatures mainly in the lower 80s. Low temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday morning should be in the 60s in New York City. Some outlying areas could see lows fall into the upper 50s on Tuesday morning. No widespread and sustained excessive or record-challenging heat appears likely through the first three weeks of July. However, some of the guidance continues to show a brief surge of high heat late next week. The last three cycles of the ECMWF and EPS are particularly bullish with the potential heat. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.1°C for the week centered around July 9. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.52°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through the summer. The SOI was +14.40 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.452 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 78% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.0° (1.5° above normal).

Pouring for the last 30 minutes in Great Falls.

I don't think anyone would mistake last winter for a "great season"....the storm track still blew dead rats due in large part to the west PAC....I know I have said this before, but I would honestly take one of the warmer/wetter recent winters over last year. 1/7/2024 blew anything I saw last winter out of the water. 2' of snow is still awesome to witness regardless of how quickly it melts....a 6" stale pack just doesn't do as much for me unless its the holidays.

Thanks to the overcast and on and off rain, I didn't hit 80 today. Bottomed out at 70 and only made it up to 78 (at least so far). Also picked up 0.30", which was welcome since a few days ago I just had a hundredth or two of rain since the 1.30" from Monday. Still, I am up to 6.5" for the month of July so far. Currently overcast and 76 with dp that has crept back up into the 70s and is at 74.

Take em up... Look for dewpoints to gradually rise overnight. Therefore it gets uncomfortable again into the morning with dewpoint readings getting into the lower and middle 70s making for quite a muggy feel. Towards late morning most NWP guidance has a break in any shower activity with likely partly sunny conditions developing. This will allow things to heat up quite a bit. By early afternoon most heat indices will get into the middle and upper 90s,with a few locales in urban NE NJ and around NYC perhaps reaching 100.

Man it's tough out there. Even just standing still leaves you covered in sweat. Would like some rain to sort of cool it off at least. Rough.

I take it the Icelandic Volcano was of little consequence, otherwise Volcanic Winter would have came on board?

83/57 Darn near perfect.

Was a unique storm that's for sure... Only 0.03 since that one... radar currently looks okay but im not at home to know for sure....

Heavy downpour in McLean but no thunder/lightning.

Oof that really might as well be 111 for you. I know you're a cold guru. Dewpoints approaching the mid 70sF seem brutal especially considering your location.