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Yeah boundary layer temps look like an issue

I have received 3 inches in a little over 3 hours.

And tends sniff out warm noses well, although this looks like surface temperatures will be the bigger challenge instead of aloft

imma check it out!

Indeed

A few tenths so far here after 2 hours. Been extremely light so far, but better radar returns are incoming.

I don't think I've seen a Rocky Mountain single storm report with over 5 ft until now

Nah, he would also have to shoot on a double rimmed hoop with no net. Might still make it, though.

00z HRR/NAM would get DCA and IAD to ~100% of December snowfall climo.

Seems to be progressing nicely.

0z Model Suite coming in Hot! Hopefully the rest of tonight's runs and tomorrow morning keep trending up.

Ohhh you'd better believe it!! Which reminds me I'm gonna start the listening binge early and make it a multi-day thing! Oh hey @stormtracker you never watched "The Genius of Beethoven" did you? Lol Both of ya if you haven't seen it, go on YouTube and watch, I'm telling ya. Best docudrama on Beethoven and a brilliant portrayal by Paul Ries.

https://x.com/contentwxguy/status/1997357683729375599?s=46 a good read on the long range from one of the best at reading it

Very true! Coming up in a couple of weeks I believe!!!

What better time than Beethoven birthday month?

Oh and off-topic...but @stormtracker, you changed your Beethoven icon look I see??

Just stepping back in here today and catching up. Been out test driving new AWD vehicles today. About to make a purchase in the next few days. Apparently, I need to get this done before next weekend? Of all things I read, the only thing retained was December 2009.

Hell, Steph Curry has a much better chance to make that shot than the extrapolated HRRR has of being correct!!! Looks like you beat me to that thought!!!

I always believed in this one. #FaithintheFlakes

Radar looks good

Show me the bedsheet. Ready to crawl up/down there!

Layman opinion (and someone knowledgeable feel free to correct me): When it comes to having to time up a NS wave coming at us with another cort to our south...it doesn't feel like that ever ends in our favor--and more often it seems like it comes together too late (especially in a nina) It's just so much going on and not a simple way to get something. Now that being said...does this look like something that could go boom for somebody on the EC if/when it does come together? But given our history with NS waves being the primary and having to dive in like that? I'm skeptical of getting something to come together in time.

radar out of Davenport

Everything you said here is the equivilent of me just watching Stranger Things. As a matter of fact, what do you want to bet they are having a Miller A in the Upside Down! It's the only thing that makes sense!

If we can somehow get that trough/vortmax to track under us and better yet close off SE of LI. The ridge out west has to be steep enough to allow it to dig and some blocking to the north would be good to slow everything down and lock in a high. In this pattern that's how we get anything to happen outside of a lucky 1-2" type clipper like last year before Christmas in a fast zonal flow.