All Activity

I think we all deserve a front, middle, and end loaded winter lol.

I got 89-90 also and 95-96. It’s interesting this season that a lot of occurred event analogs from this year are matching to positive outcome producing years in the past

This is the wonderful thing of strong blocks and poleward flux. Ill have to take a look back and see what exactly caused the flow to buckle so much over the last 2-3 weeks.

I’m a little late on my end with this posting but man the turbulence coming in to providence airport early tues morning was just something else. We were already coming off a nearly 6 hour delay and wondering if we would even get home and that front meant business, just before landing. That sudden sinking feeling always sends shivers down my spine lol. Back to our chilly and windy reality for a while..heck of a time though seeing my crazy fam!

Nothing yet, hopefully something pops within a couple hours

So 6/106 (5.7%) from 1893-1998 and 5/26 (19.2%) from 1999-2024. Interesting.

That's what I want... BTW, where are these showers coming from? Was it supposed to rain today?

The weeklies H5 that Will posted is pretty ideal for small/moderate events. I dont really like big downhill/uphill patterns. Potential for bigger storms is better but lots of waiting and high risk of things not turning the corner in the right spot. The broader trough can be more active and shortwaves can get going much further west with good trajectory for the MA. TN Valley overrunners and things like that. In dec, big amplified stuff can often have temp problems too. Atlantic air moisture draw isnt nearly as friendly as Jan/Feb. Entrenched cold overrunning is easier to produce in Dec

Another good thread from @griteater. 2017 was the last year we had even respectable December snowfall.

For folks that want a front loaded winter. This one is for you

Correct, but that doesn’t necessarily mean anything for us. This could just as easily benefit Europe. But something to watch for sure

And it's still below normal on 12/31.

I’m going to go stand there when we hit -41 in December. The village did go subzero 20x last DJFM. Interestingly, the coldest day overall was 12/22/24 with an avg temp of -2.1.

My work gave me the ultimatum to move to Charlotte, NC or get lost in 30 days. I've been remote for six year since they closed our office here. Looks like I'm moving down there. I'm gonna miss the mid-Atlantic winters. Weather seems hot and boring down there in the Piedmont.

Thank you for saying the quiet part outloud. I have him on ignore anyways.

Seeing the slightly above normal precip anomaly doesn't surprise me given the H5 look in the quote post. You have a boundary pressing south and we're right on the edge. It's possible some light rail tracks could be hinted at by guidance.

At the ASOS, is where he spent most of his days.

Looks like it’s near 0 now…but yeah we’ll need to see a prolonged spike decently south. I don’t have my hopes up for tonight.

Weak Niña?

Very interesting Steve…very curious how this plays out, and if so, how it affects us here. Hopefully it doesn’t split and move into Siberia, or sit it’s fanny right on our faces either.

Wait, cold and wet, in a Niña?

Roommate is from there, born and raised. I have seen some really nice photos from that area. And it's always the cold spot (SLK).

It should be a good night for stargazing IMBY regardless, so I’ll be out anyway.

Nice sunset at least

Yeah I am going to give it a chance on a remote possibility.