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About this blog

A few massive snowstorms have gained the respectability that every storm wants to gain.  The last few blizzards to strike the SNE region have not lived up to their predecessors.  The Blizzard of 2005 and 2015 are two storms that come to mind that blow everyone away when it comes to wind gusts and snowfall amounts in Harwich, MA.  When it comes to intensity of snowfall the Blizzard of 2005 is second to none, while the duration of the storm the blizzard of 2015 wins out.  Also wind gusts 2005 wins out over 2015 as Nantucket lost power as an 86mph wind gust hit the island, while Nantucket didn't lose power to the island in the 2015 storm where a 78mph gust ended up hitting the island.  As for snowfall amounts as I said earlier, the Blizzard of 2005 beat out the Blizzard of 2015 by two inches, 35" to 33" respectively. 

Entries in this blog

Comparing the Last Two GFS runs for Fantasy storm 2

These images on top are from the 18z GFS run tonight, from hours 300-348, they show the evolution of our southern stream disturbance phasing with the large northern stream long wave trough, acting as at least a double phased jet structured storm if not three jets with the arctic jet also getting involved.  Only triple phased streams allow a 940mb surface low to develop over DE ME.  Could a storm of this magnitude evolve in this pattern for mid month?  Absolutely, but how accurate is the model? 
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Comparing the last two GFS runs for fantasy storms

This is the 500mb imagery from the 12z GFS, from hours 300 to 384, these eight images suggest a powerful nor'easter takes about 150 mile path east of Boston, MA as a 968mb low, an offshore storm favoring the coastal regions of New England around December 16th 2017, about 15 days from now.  
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Pattern Change towards arctic cold and snow returns for the first time this year

As a weather weenie, what separates our love for the weather from most people on this Earth?  What triggers our emotional senses when a snowstorm doesn't go our way?  What do we know of ourselves that makes us love the snow?  Simply put, it is our passion.  We love it as much as the next person loves candy, or his or her Boyfriend or girlfriend.  We love the weather because we are passionate about it as much as we are curious when it doesn't follow our projections.  So why tell you this?  Becaus
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First Cape Cod MA snow? - After December 4th??????

The forecast for snow and cold looks dim the next 10 days, however beyond that time period, looks to the first real chance at a snowy and cold regime over New England and at least as far south as the 38N latitude line.  Anyone south of that latitude needs to wait until further into January time frame, but for those of us north of that latitude, the pattern change is being seen by most of the guidance after day 7-9 time frame, it looks like after December 4th an arctic front swings through the No
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Dawn Awakening: End of the World

If you want to help with writing a movie script about the end of the world you can help me out, just add your email address I will email you a copy of the character list and the start to my new movie script I am writing.  SO I can use anyone with experience or with the love to write and who is dedicated to writing a masterpiece of art.  Thanks!   James Warren Nichols Productions
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Dawn Awakening: End of the World

I could use the presence of an experienced writer who loves to write and work on a story that will blow the top off the competition.  Every movie studio will want this script someday, if we work hard on it together.  Speak up, I need you to help out.  You need to want to write with me.
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A New England Thanksgiving Snowstorm?

Cape Cod has not had a real snowstorm on Thanksgiving since my birth year, 28 years ago on Thanksgiving.  I was supposed to be baptized in the Roman Catholic Church a few months after my birth, which happened to be Thanksgiving week.  However, we had a great snowstorm that dumped almost a foot and a half of snow.  My parents have pictures they showed us growing up.  I have always wanted a white Thanksgiving and Christmas in the same year, wouldn't that be fascinating if this was the year?  Troub
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Who Wants to Cowrite a movie script

Anyone want to cowrite a movie script with me, I am open to most replies.  Tomorrow I am working on character names and design.  Help me out, just email at [email protected] or instant message me at USCAPEWEATHERAF on this site, thanks looking for the first few replies.  So be the first one to reply.   James Warren Nichols Productions
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Pattern tells us in 8-10 day period a storm potential is brewing

Ok, remember the last few posts have been about the past, well today's blog is about the future.  IN the next 8-10 days periods of cold and rain are possible with a few mix events, but the main event looks to be in the Saturday/Sunday timeframe for New England storm system.  Questions remain, but the gist of the future is that a potential coastal storm is looming.  Currently models are not far enough south with the low, so it appears it will be a rain event, but with a Greenland block and PNA ri
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Remembering A Blizzard

Remembering a blizzard that I believed to be epic was not so long ago where I can't remember any details.  This one was two about to be three winters ago.  The winter of 2014-2015 was boring and dull as well as rarely cold to start, the first month of that winter was warm and boring.  Christmas Day was warm, it was raining and in the 50s, cleared by the afternoon.  Cape Cod winters are not promised a thing snowfall wise.  However, since the winter of 2002-2003 winters have been kinder to the sno
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SOme signals appearing for first widespread snowstorm of the season

Other than the news that my second novel is progressing well today, we have some weather to discuss.  Teleconnections tell us what kind of 500mb pattern we can expect to shape up in that time frame.  Normally 2-4 days, his medium to high confidence, 4-8 days is low to medium and 8+ days is usually low confidence for various reasons.  Our snowstorm potential exists because two thirds of our pattern is showing a good sign for a snowstorm to impact the New England region.  First we have to have a n
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First Snowstorm of the season??? - November 9-11th 2017

First snow of the season looks to be supported by most of the guidance we use for forecasting our weather across the CONUS.  Our weather in New England this time of year gets particularly colder as we venture to the beginning of November through the end of March, this time period is notorious for heavy snowstorms, more so towards DEC through FEB sometimes including NOV and MAR.  This winter supports a La Nina pattern, although weak, but present should feature more of a negative PNA and positive
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"Dawn Awakening: The Apocalypse is Now"

"Dawn Awakening: The Apocalypse is Now", is a heart wrenching tale about the end of the world through the study of geology.  Together we will experience, life, death and destruction of the world in a process known as the, "Earth Core Pulse", a theory I created on an epic energetic pulse of ultimate energy emanating from the Earth's Core throughout the faults of the Earth, and where it all starts, the Philippines, explodes into dust and heat is generated throughout the oceans as various earthquak
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Last week of October and All of November could become very cold and snowy

Looking at the latest 12z model data, it appears that the last week of October through the Halloween holiday and into the first few weeks of November the Teleconnections will favor trough in the east and ridge in the west type pattern where sustained cold will be possible in New England north of 40N latitude.  This could mean a stormy November in which cold air sinks into the Oh Valley centered in this region the trough will allow storms to come up the East Coast to the benchmark and give us pre
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Last week of October, beginning of November, cold returns, but does this mean first snow, or rain?

SO the models are showing frigid air entering the northern Plains sometime in the next ten days and that cold air filters into the eastern US by day 13-16, which is the 27th and beyond of October.  We could be seeing a change to much colder air eventually as winter gets closer.  Most of our storms this winter will be from the Oh Valley to the Mid Atlantic coastal storm tracks, signifying that miller Bs and not Miller As will be the normalcy this winter.
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Cold could remain out west for next two weeks, by third week cold may pay us a visit

Ok the pattern upcoming for the next two weeks is quite simple.  Simply put, it remains a negative to neutral PNA, positive NAO and positive AO, this means cold air will continue to filter into the western Canada and Western US, while the eastern US and eastern Canada remain underneath a strong ridge of high pressure with southwesterly winds and warm temperatures.  By the end of October, this pattern may switch to more seasonal temperatures showing a cooling trend by the beginning of November. 
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Novel being considered for publishing

Hey everyone of Americanwx.com foruims, Today I inform you that my novel, 'The Dawn Awakening: Opening Segment" is being reviewed by a publishing company for potential publishing, keep me in your prayers, as we can get through the barrier of publishing.  Thanks, I will have another updated blog on Thursday when they make the decision.  Thanks!   James Warren Nichols  
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So folks, should I publish my work on my own with amazon?  Or should I go with another publisher?
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"Blizzard of the Century"

Hello folks, I am writing to you guys because its fun and a bit of an exercise short story for when I try to write short stories and get published in the future.  This practice short story is about a Blizzard of the Century deal where a catastrophic nor'easter meets the NE CONUS and the MW.  A storm as strong as the Greenland storms in the winter time.  A low as low as 925.4mb a category five hurricane pressure.  What would happen if a low bombed out to 925.4mb southeast of Nantucket, MA, h
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A microburst potential exists on Tuesday morning as a screaming Low Level Jet with hurricane force winds possible for Cape Cod if the surface low travels over the top of the area.
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Could GOM Low become a hurricane?

Models are not crazy about the tropics right now but we have two areas of interest growing in the Tropical Atlantic as I write this blog.  First area of concern is close to home, in what we call a homegrown threat, an area of thunderstorms grew into an area of low pressure earlier this afternoon and is growing with thunderstorm activity.  It developed from a leftover frontal boundary currently racing off to the Northeast over the western Atlantic Ocean.  TS Emily grew from the same front yesterd
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