Chinook Posted January 4, 2016 Author Share Posted January 4, 2016 Nice pics- it reminds me of snowshoeing at Blue Lake/Poudre Canyon, where I measured 7 feet of snow at the parking lot a few years back. It has been a boring pattern, but thankfully it has looked a lot like winter. In fact, I have had snow on the ground in the shade since Dec. 15th-- I guess that is 20 days now. Looks like the main headline this week will be the arctic cool-down on Friday to Monday possibly. I don't think the snow system on Thursday will a very big deal. The 00z GFS predicts 1-3" east of Denver/east of I-25, but QPF details have been somewhat inconsistent from run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 Been a boring pattern around here as well, except with strong inversions in place over most western MT valleys. Rather warm air aloft but down here we've dropped below -10F two nights in a row. Looks like a couple more systems will be moving through this week. Picked up a dusting each of the past two days to freshen up the landscape a bit, but really it didn't need much freshening up to begin with, since we haven't been above freezing in like a month lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 7, 2016 Author Share Posted January 7, 2016 Snowfall prediction graphic from NWS Boulder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 7, 2016 Author Share Posted January 7, 2016 ^^ I am kind of guessing it won't get -that- cold in Montana on Jan 13. I think -37 is going to be a little bit off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Snowfall prediction graphic from NWS Boulder So, high-end advisory amounts for many. This would merit a couple hundred posts in the New England subforum, but here? 2. We had an inch this morning, then it melted. More to come hopefully. Was thinking about dusting off my bike this weekend but guess not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConiferMtnMan Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 According to the wife, we've got 5-6" at home but it has stopped for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 So, high-end advisory amounts for many. This would merit a couple hundred posts in the New England subforum, but here? 2. We had an inch this morning, then it melted. More to come hopefully. Was thinking about dusting off my bike this weekend but guess not. True for the Lakes/Midwest as well. But, over 60% of those posts would be arguments over IMBY'ism, wish casting, or weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 So true. Or comments about the anatomy of other posters. Anyway, all the 00Z models seem to be busting this thing (<2") save for down around Monument/COS. Dusting here after the melting earlier. Too bad, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Boring weather pattern up here... cold front this weekend looks like weaksauce to me. I miss December, bring back the eastern US super ridge. just kidding, sorta Still have a foot of powdery snowpack IMBY, at least, even though it hasn't snowed in years. Err, like a week and a half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 8, 2016 Author Share Posted January 8, 2016 So true. Or comments about the anatomy of other posters. Anyway, all the 00Z models seem to be busting this thing (<2") save for down around Monument/COS. Dusting here after the melting earlier. Too bad, we'll see. Snow was not a bust here. We easily have 4 to 5" across town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Evidently Hwy 34 thru the Big Thompson canyon from Loveland to Estes Park was a disaster last night with accidents and cars sideways on the road unable to make the climb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Snow was not a bust here. We easily have 4 to 5" across town. Right around 3" in Thornton, still light snow with fat fluffy flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Snow was not a bust here. We easily have 4 to 5" across town. Yup, shows what models are worth with mesoscale things I guess. Anyway, less than originally thought but not a total bust here. With 1" yesterday and 2.5" today, that squeaks into the low end of what people were saying. 38.5" on the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 10, 2016 Author Share Posted January 10, 2016 I was not on the internet much recently- my power supply for my laptop broke on Sunday. I had been running on battery for some of my internet activity this week. My battery almost ran out yesterday and today. Now I have a new power supply. I think my area got 5.5" - 6.0" yesterday. It snowed from 5:00 or 6:00 Thursday, the heavier snow was in the middle of the night (like usual) and continued with even a few flakes at midnight last night. I wonder if we can make it to 40 or 45 days with at least 1" of snowcover at Fort Collins-CSU. not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 From the Missoula NWS AFD... lol they're clearly exasperated with our pattern: Saturday afternoon: yet another system is expected to move acrossthe region, however snow levels appear to rise above many areavalleys. One caveat to this scenario is that some valleys maydevelop and maintain temperature inversions as snow levels rise,so light freezing rain will become a threat and result in...youguessed it...hazardous winter travel conditions.A higher threat for widespread freezing rain, later changing tomostly snow, arrives over the Northern Rockies Monday eveningthrough midday Tuesday. Seriously, there is so little change inthe current pattern over the region that hazardous drivingconditions due to a combination of freezing rain and snow will bepresent nearly every overnight period through the end of nextweek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 From the Missoula NWS AFD... lol they're clearly exasperated with our pattern: Saturday afternoon: yet another system is expected to move across the region, however snow levels appear to rise above many area valleys. One caveat to this scenario is that some valleys may develop and maintain temperature inversions as snow levels rise, so light freezing rain will become a threat and result in...you guessed it...hazardous winter travel conditions. A higher threat for widespread freezing rain, later changing to mostly snow, arrives over the Northern Rockies Monday evening through midday Tuesday. Seriously, there is so little change in the current pattern over the region that hazardous driving conditions due to a combination of freezing rain and snow will be present nearly every overnight period through the end of next week. Hmmm...isn't it supposed to be wintry in DJF in this part of the world?? The NWS makes it sound like it's unusual to have persistent wintry weather in northern MT. It's January, after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Perhaps he just doesn't care for a broken record type of forecast, unchanging conditions...who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 hmm. 30" of snow in part of Montana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 And we spend all this time bickering about 2" of snow?? Here are a couple of pictures from snowshoeing at Bierstadt Lake, RMNP. Also, the snow depth was 32" at Bear Lake RMNP. Possibly 60-80mph wind gusts picking up the snow on Long's Peak. Note: I had some 30-40mph wind gusts at Bierstadt Lake parking lot and on the frozen lake (away from the trees.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Hmmm...isn't it supposed to be wintry in DJF in this part of the world?? The NWS makes it sound like it's unusual to have persistent wintry weather in northern MT. It's January, after all. Lol, yeah, who knows. Admittedly, this climate can drive 'normal' people batty. We don't get as cold as the rest of the state, but we don't get warming chinooks either, and it can be overcast with on and off flizzards/light snow for weeks on end. The last time I saw a clear blue sky was probably November lol. I love it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 A rock with some icicles near Bear Lake, RMNP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 A rock with some icicles near Bear Lake, RMNP If that is the rock on the western side of the lake, my little daughter loves that particular rock. She says it reminds her of a runny nose the way the ice feature drips off of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Funny localized (seems south half of Denver metro area only) gusty NW winds the past 2 hours, last hour was gusting to 36 at KAPA in the middle of a somewhat uncomfortable bike ride. Not so hot for Peyton's passing, but might have helped the last minute FG for the Broncos. Wasn't predicted and not even mentioned in the BOU AFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Oddly enough, the recent GFS runs all show a distinctive upper trough and Front Range snow event in the Jan 30-31 time frame. It's way out there, but I wonder if it will work out. That's 2 weekends in the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Even the ensemble means support low pressure in the Rockies on Jan 30-31. I don't usually post any maps beyond 168 hours, but this may be worth thinking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Even the ensemble means support low pressure in the Rockies on Jan 30-31. I don't usually post any maps beyond 168 hours, but this may be worth thinking about. That means the next 10-12 days are going to be REALLY boring... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The weather pattern up here is a couple degrees too warm. Bunch of wintry mix sloppy crap down here in the valley expected this week. Some classic Montana -30s would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The weather pattern up here is a couple degrees too warm. Bunch of wintry mix sloppy crap down here in the valley expected this week. Some classic Montana -30s would be nice. On the other hand, all the wintry mix events forecasted thus far have turned out to be wet snowfalls, mainly. It's hard to get significant amounts of non-snow precip around here. We're good at winter lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Generally -3F to -6F in this area over the last 30 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 OK, with our current boring (but typical) pattern, I just HAD to post this, because... well, you don't see this very often and it's kind of like a dream setup. Get ready. Point forecast for the spine of the Blue Ridge in North Central VA: Friday Snow, mainly after 1pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 23. East wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Friday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow after 1am. Low around 19. Windy, with a northeast wind 17 to 22 mph increasing to 24 to 29 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 16 to 22 inches possible. Saturday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. High near 25. Windy, with a north wind 25 to 32 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 11 to 17 inches possible. Saturday Night Snow likely, mainly before 1am. Widespread blowing snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. Windy, with a north wind 21 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Add 'em up... not including Sat night, the verbatim totals are 29 to 43 inches. Most probable amount for this area from NWS LWX is 36 inches. That's about a year's worth of snow in 2 days!!! And DCA is forecast to get around 2 feet... 2 years' worth in 48 hours. Would love to be storm chasing there this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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