BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Is that HRRR based on 10:1 ratios? yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 10-12 on the monmouth county coast per the hrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluebythec Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Coastal ocean county is reporting sleet and freezing rain lol.. That's terrible I'm in Point Pleasant, northern Ocean County, about 1/2 a mile from the beach and it's all snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 About 2" on the ground in Long Beach. Snowing at I'd say an inch per hour. Nice backfilling taking place over PA-we're in this for quite some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 10-12 on the monmouth county coast per the hrr that band trying to develop on LI looks like it may set up shop here. you can almost start seeing some slight pivoting as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Is that HRRR based on 10:1 ratios? yes Since it is...that would make it instead of 6"....an average of 8" for most and 10-12" for crntral jersey through long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 would u kindly send the link out for this radar please? Many thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJCoast Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Closing in on 2 inches in Brielle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 yes Oh ok so 8-12" should be accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 would u kindly send the link out for this radar please? Many thx Beautiful radar ! You can see it gradually building NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I would not be surprised to see an island of local maxima snow totals in south Jersey. They are really getting pasted, and the precip just looks thinner in north Jersey, though the radar is now filling in more over PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 would u kindly send the link out for this radar please? Many thx nyblizz http://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1KPHLa_h.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 That's because it just switched from clear air mode to precip mode. nope - i was talking regional...but its building back in the MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShakeNBake22z Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Family back in Middletown, Monmouth county reported 2'' about 15 min ago. Well on their way toward a double digit accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 JM1220, you have great instincts, truly. Can we see 10-12 inches and 9 degrees during mid day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 nyblizz http://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1KPHLa_h.gif appreciate it buddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Debating about heading to Haileys to watch the game. Not even sure if they are open. I've been there in most of the major snowstorms in the past 4 years since they opened - they'll be open... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 JM1220, you have great instincts, truly. Can we see 10-12 inches and 9 degrees during mid day? If I were to hedge a guess, I'd say we hang out around 10 degrees through the day and the winds diminish further on into the afternoon. The question is how much banding hangs back around us-if it just bodily moves east from here it could all be over by 4-5am. If we can get the inverted trough and more activity to hang around, and we have snow until 8am or so, we could push 10" I think. A foot though is a stretch to me-a couple of spots could where the bands are most persistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Absecon and Atlantic city reporting freezing rain. I'm sure just north if there is VERY heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Surface map has consolidated from 5 areas of low pressure to 3 areas of LP. The new coastal low is 1002 mb as of 00Z on the HPC analysis and is progged to move northeastward in the direction of that stationary front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I have great instincts as well, though weenies hate them, nothing more than 4" at KNYC. Trust me, I hate my forecast as much as you do. Though I'm known to be on the negative side sometimes, 4" is ridiculous. No guidance shows anything below 6-7" for NYC. And they are based on 10:1 ratios. Banding continues to setup just around NYC. How will they get only 4?lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I have great instincts as well, though weenies hate them, nothing more than 4" at KNYC. Trust me, I hate my forecast as much as you do. Look at the backfilling over eastern PA. NYC will easily get 4" and probably 6-8". The snow shield looks very reluctant to move east so far, look down towards DC and see how little it's moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
threegirls Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 2 inches, very fine grains in Hopewell, central NJ. Quarter mile visibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman9 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Look at the backfilling over eastern PA. NYC will easily get 4" and probably 6-8". The snow shield looks very reluctant to move east so far, look down towards DC and see how little it's moving. I hope you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I have great instincts as well, though weenies hate them, nothing more than 4" at KNYC. Trust me, I hate my forecast as much as you do. KNYC might have 4 inches by midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Look at the backfilling over eastern PA. NYC will easily get 4" and probably 6-8". The snow shield looks very reluctant to move east so far, look down towards DC and see how little it's moving. anywhere from 6-14 nuff said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I have great instincts as well, though weenies hate them, nothing more than 4" at KNYC. Trust me, I hate my forecast as much as you do. Many people around the area already have 2". I suppose NYC is not far behind. You're telling me that NYC sees only 2 additional inches over the next 12 hours? C'mon, I've been really conservative with storm but your amounts are just way too low imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Guys the low is only starting to deepen! Based on models and obS this is just the start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Mt. Holly increased amounts to 6-10 from 4-8 and I would hedge toward the high end of that. Can anyone calculate the current snow ratios based on the QPF we've already received? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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