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Ridingtime

Jerusalem, Israel Winter Weather 2013-2014

69 posts in this topic

Thanks. Wish I knew of this site when I was there.

Link to radar and various other data:

 

http://www.ims.gov.il/IMSEng/CLIMATE

 

Radar currently appears quite strong, map shows a 997 mb low near Tel Aviv which has been drifting south under a large upper level low. As it is currently evening there, radar shows potential for a heavy snowfall of 20-30 cm overnight.

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I did an article on the storm, see this link - using some of the info from this thread:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2013/12/12/unusual-december-snowstorm-strikes-middle-east-jerusalem-shutdown/

 

I may do a short update tomorrow...  so keep the great info coming...  would love info on snowfall totals and how this ranks historically....  pics are great too - please indicate if I have permission to republish pics and how I should credit....  (private message me with any questions)

 

thanks!

jason samenow

washington post weather editor

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Hi Jason,

 

Great article!  I also live in Jerusalem and will try to keep you updated.

 

After about 7-10 cm (3-4") this morning, which partially melted, another 7-8 cm (3") has accumulated in a few hours this evening.

 

With the new snow this evening, this is already the heaviest snow in Jerusalem in December in the last 100 years.  Because the water temps in the Mediterranean are mild and take a while to cool down (they're currently near 70F), it is very rare to have heavy snow in December.  See http://www.meteoprog.co.il/en/water/ for current water temps.  There have been several storms with more than 25 cm (10") in the last century, but all occurred in Jan or Feb.  

 

Here is a record of snowfall in Jerusalem going back to the 1700s (!): http://www.angelfire.com/mb/batzdir/SNOWTAB1.htm.  It hasn't been updated in over 5 years, so it doesn't include the heavy snows in Jan 2008 (~20 cm) and Jan 2013 (also ~20 cm).

 

One correction:  As you can see from the link above, Jerusalem has a snowfall over 15 cm (6") on average about every 5-7 years, but snowfalls of any amount are more common - about 2/3 of years have at least some snow.

 

More pics from my friend Yishai Fleisher: https://drive.google.com/folderview?id=0By31oPQGk4z_LWRLSGhDb2l3YzA&usp=sharing

 

I did an article on the storm, see this link - using some of the info from this thread:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2013/12/12/unusual-december-snowstorm-strikes-middle-east-jerusalem-shutdown/

 

I may do a short update tomorrow...  so keep the great info coming...  would love info on snowfall totals and how this ranks historically....  pics are great too - please indicate if I have permission to republish pics and how I should credit....  (private message me with any questions)

 

thanks!

jason samenow

washington post weather editor

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As Jconsor mentioned, another 7-8 cm have accumulated so far in the past 2 hours. I took a memorable and amazing walk with my wife just now with peaceful, beautiful, heavy snow falling everywhere. It's just an awesome winter wonderland out there, with everything white, quiet, people roaming the streets taking pics. Nothing like it

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Justin and Jonathan, Thanks so much for all of the info (and clarification).  I will be watching this thread and will plan to post an update tomorrow.  Jason

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There was just a flash in the sky - may have had some thundersnow! Didn't hear the rumble though. Either way we are in some pretty epic echo's now on the radar so I'll keep an ear out for more.

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The radar is really a thing of beauty for Jerusalem, with convergence evident over the SE tip of the Mediterranean focusing a band of heavy precipitation into Jerusalem and surrounding areas. I'm not sure what snow rates are but I'd have to imagine 1"+ per hour. With such an intense temperature difference between the sea and the 500mb level I'd have to imagine thundersnow will continue.

 

[attachment=110473:Jerusalem radar.gif]

 

Looking at the most recent GFS/Euro, both models suggest that the winds will continue to converge in this area with plenty cold mid-level air and plenty of mid-level RH to continue to support moderate to at times heavy snow through Saturday morning local time, if not a bit later. The Euro shows less QPF in Jerusalem itself but still shows convergence in this area like the GFS shows, and this will likely focus moderate to heavy precip into Jerusalem off and on. The models both show the winds shifting at times and altering where the convergence lies so there may be lulls, but the snow should more or less continue well into Saturday.

 

Based on your posts and by my math you're already well over half a foot/15cm now, it wouldn't completely shock me to see those 50cm amounts verify in some spots given the long duration of the event and potential for heavy snow at times throughout.

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The radar is really a thing of beauty for Jerusalem, with convergence evident over the SE tip of the Mediterranean focusing a band of heavy precipitation into Jerusalem and surrounding areas. I'm not sure what snow rates are but I'd have to imagine 1"+ per hour. With such an intense temperature difference between the sea and the 500mb level I'd have to imagine thundersnow will continue.

 

attachicon.gifJerusalem radar.gif

 

Looking at the most recent GFS/Euro, both models suggest that the winds will continue to converge in this area with plenty cold mid-level air and plenty of mid-level RH to continue to support moderate to at times heavy snow through Saturday morning local time, if not a bit later. The Euro shows less QPF in Jerusalem itself but still shows convergence in this area like the GFS shows, and this will likely focus moderate to heavy precip into Jerusalem off and on. The models both show the winds shifting at times and altering where the convergence lies so there may be lulls, but the snow should more or less continue well into Saturday.

 

Based on your posts and by my math you're already well over half a foot/15cm now, it wouldn't completely shock me to see those 50cm amounts verify in some spots given the long duration of the event and potential for heavy snow at times throughout.

Great post! The Euro in my estimation has completely busted with precip amounts, although it does deserve credit for forecasting the storm and the amount of cold a week in advance. And yes, there is at least 1 inch if not 1.5-2inch hour rates falling now, with frequent bursts of lightening.

 

What is going to make this whole thing absolutely altering for Jerusalem is the fact that the streets are pretty much as full as snow as the sidewalks because the plows are barely around. Rumor has it actually that a lot of them were sent to clear the streets for John Kerry who is visiting here lol. So the city is certainly going to be shut down for the next two days. I just don't see how people are going to get around or do anything except marvel at just how much snow has fallen from the sky.

 

Long story short: this is epic beyond proportions and I am so happy to be a part of it.

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Great post! The Euro in my estimation has completely busted with precip amounts, although it does deserve credit for forecasting the storm and the amount of cold a week in advance. And yes, there is at least 1 inch if not 1.5-2inch hour rates falling now, with frequent bursts of lightening.

 

What is going to make this whole thing absolutely altering for Jerusalem is the fact that the streets are pretty much as full as snow as the sidewalks because the plows are barely around. Rumor has it actually that a lot of them were sent to clear the streets for John Kerry who is visiting here lol. So the city is certainly going to be shut down for the next two days. I just don't see how people are going to get around or do anything except marvel at just how much snow has fallen from the sky.

 

Long story short: this is epic beyond proportions and I am so happy to be a part of it.

Thanks for posting about this snowstorm. It's great to see some heavy snow blanketing Jerusalem.

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Finally heading in for the night folks. Took one last stroll and measured 7.5 inches of snow on the ground. Crazy. I'll probably wake up to a good deal more than that too. Also updated my album with more pics from that stroll: https://www.icloud.com/photostream/#A6JEsNWnJHwHMl

 

Enjoy, and I'll be back tomorrow soon for further updates!

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Well, 18z GFS upped the precip to over 1.5" that will fall as snow for the rest of the night and tomorrow for most of the day. A foot of snow+ after everything is said and done is almost a given now. 18" is possible

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There are no words to describe the situation here. The heavy snow never stopped falling and is still coming down. The city: shut down, immobilized. I haven't been out yet, but I'm reading reports that already 18 inches fell in some places. By eyeballing it I can pretty much guarantee we hit the foot range. Also the radar site for the Israel Meterological Service has seemed to crash (anyone know of a alternate?). With all that's being modeled and by the looks of things last night, I'll just go ahead and predict 2 feet of snow by tomorrow morning, maybe more? It's going to be a wild wide here the next several days

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Definitely over a foot. Look at this pic posted three hours ago 

 

https://twitter.com/IsraelHatzolah/status/411323715205738496/photo/1

 

Please go out and measure so I can go to sleep happy ;)

There are no words to describe the situation here. The heavy snow never stopped falling and is still coming down. The city: shut down, immobilized. I haven't been out yet, but I'm reading reports that already 18 inches fell in some places. By eyeballing it I can pretty much guarantee we hit the foot range. Also the radar site for the Israel Meterological Service has seemed to crash (anyone know of a alternate?). With all that's being modeled and by the looks of things last night, I'll just go ahead and predict 2 feet of snow by tomorrow morning, maybe more? It's going to be a wild wide here the next several days

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There are no words to describe the situation here. The heavy snow never stopped falling and is still coming down. The city: shut down, immobilized. I haven't been out yet, but I'm reading reports that already 18 inches fell in some places. By eyeballing it I can pretty much guarantee we hit the foot range. Also the radar site for the Israel Meterological Service has seemed to crash (anyone know of a alternate?). With all that's being modeled and by the looks of things last night, I'll just go ahead and predict 2 feet of snow by tomorrow morning, maybe more? It's going to be a wild wide here the next several days

Wow, that's awesome to hear! It's kind of crappy but before Roger linked the radar on the previous page I just used Accuweather's satellite page for Israel. Looking at things precip continues to blossom over the sea and get funneled into northern Israel with pretty cold cloud tops on IR, so I'd imagine heavy snow with thunder will continue.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/il/national/satellite

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So I actually measured 11 inches on most flat surfaces in a parking lot. On grassy surfaces which did not have too much melting from the first burst Thursday morning, you probably could add another inch or two to that. And total, before melting, you can add 4 inches. So:

 

11 inches on the ground now on flat non grassy surfaces

13 inches on the grass

15 inches total so far

 

This is all in the Ramat Eshkol neighborhood in Jerusalem which is not the highest neighborhood in the city, but certainly not the lowest.

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So I actually measured 11 inches on most flat surfaces in a parking lot. On grassy surfaces which did not have too much melting from the first burst Thursday morning, you probably could add another inch or two to that. And total, before melting, you can add 4 inches. So:

11 inches on the ground now on flat non grassy surfaces
13 inches on the grass
15 inches total so far

This is all in the Ramat Eshkol neighborhood in Jerusalem which is not the highest neighborhood in the city, but certainly not the lowest.

Wow, just amazing, we are sitting here in nyc trying to get an inch or two to fall before a changeover. I guess a Jew belongs in Israel. Enjoy it libi bamizrach!

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Been experiencing another lull now in the storm the past 3-4 hours, as expected (although so nerve-wracking!) The latest GFS 6Z just splurges us with tons more snow though starting around 3pm going into the early Saturday morning hours. It's frustrating not having a good radar to track the storm I must say. But with the dynamics of this storm already in place, I am fairly certain Jerusalem is in for more pummeling.

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The snow has returned with a vengeance. Already snowing heavily in just a matter of minutes. News reporters here are saying it'll be 3x's worse than last night. Based off the model runs, I can certainly see that, although wouldn't guarantee. Either way, this will unfortunately be my last update since the Sabbath is coming in a couple of hours and as an observant Jew I don't use electricity and whatnot then. I'll be back sundown Saturday though to provide my account of what happened and hopefully some pictures of what is left by Saturday night here (I can't take pics either during the Sabbath :( )

 

Pray my electricity lasts! Otherwise, I am the happiest I have ever been during a snow storm, and its been great providing you guys with the details. All the best!

:snowwindow:  :snowing:

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3x worse = another 1-2 feet ;-). Couple hours gives you more than enough time to post pics and update at least right before Shabbat starts

The snow has returned with a vengeance. Already snowing heavily in just a matter of minutes. News reporters here are saying it'll be 3x's worse than last night. Based off the model runs, I can certainly see that, although wouldn't guarantee. Either way, this will unfortunately be my last update since the Sabbath is coming in a couple of hours and as an observant Jew I don't use electricity and whatnot then. I'll be back sundown Saturday though to provide my account of what happened and hopefully some pictures of what is left by Saturday night here (I can't take pics either during the Sabbath :( )

Pray my electricity lasts! Otherwise, I am the happiest I have ever been during a snow storm, and its been great providing you guys with the details. All the best!
:snowwindow: :snowing:

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