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stormwarn

March 2012- Driest On Record for Central Park?

40 posts in this topic

[quote name='NorEaster27' timestamp='1333048028' post='1474143']
I would take under 0.50 for KNYC
[/quote]

I think it willl be close to .50". Probably around .35".

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[quote name='ag3' timestamp='1333047936' post='1474141']
Has nothing to do with that. The models are all similar with the low placement. The euro shears out the vort quicker then the rest, thus weaker precip.

Euro is a clear outlier right now. The overwhelmning concensus is for .50"-.75" of precip.
[/quote]
any other model as an outlier I would discount, but not the Euro

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[quote name='ag3' timestamp='1333050845' post='1474216']
New srefs continue to have .50"-.75" of rain for NYC and a pretty snowy solution for north of Jersey and the Catskills.
[/quote]
maps?

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Euro is still extremely dry when compared to the entire model suite of 0z/6z:

For NYC:

Euro: .10"
GFS: .30"
NAM: 1.00"
GGEM: .30"
UKIE: .40"
JMA: .30"
SREF: .60"

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Latest NAM is a little south of the srefs:

Gives NYC .50" of precip and most of CT .25"-.35" of precip:

[img]http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/12znamp24_NE030.gif[/img]

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[quote name='SBUWX23' timestamp='1333173423' post='1477285']
0.26 in at Central Park as of 2am with more precip to come.
[/quote]

Another .09" since then. Bringing Central Park up to .35" to as of 7am, for this event:

[url="http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KNYC.html"]http://www.weather.g...story/KNYC.html[/url]

Central Park is now at .94" now for the month. This ties with March 1966, for the third driest March on record.

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[quote name='Weathergun' timestamp='1333192848' post='1477360']
Another .09" since then. Bringing Central Park up to .35" to as of 7am, for this event:

[url="http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KNYC.html"]http://www.weather.g...story/KNYC.html[/url]

Central Park is now at .94" now for the month. This ties with March 1966, for the third driest March on record.
[/quote]
if the temperature stays in the low 40's today we can kiss the warmest March goodbye also...

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Euro did a terrible job with this system with qpf amounts. Had .10"-.15" for several runs for our area.

LGA: .46"
NYC: .36"
JFK: .39"
EWR: .41"

Yesterday's 12z NAM nailed this qpf amounts.

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