Indystorm

SPC meso says 95% prob of a tor watch coming for the Ohio Valley in the next hour or so....

Radar confirmed tor near Batavia moving ne

Low level helicity is stronger down by the Ohio river than up in northern IL, but we shall see what happens.

Satellite looking interesting sw and se of the Quad cities. Expect formation soon if cap allows

Probably because moisture is not all that high in the sixties but the contras is great for this time of year

17 point dew point spread between Davenport IA and Princeton IL 41 to 58

Tor watch coming for ne IL and nw IN per SPC meso

Didn't think I'd be signing in for svr season this early in the Calumet region, but parameters for later tonight are quite concerning.

Cicero has really taken it on the chin with that storm July 2 that produced massive flooding and now many areas will be facing this situation overnight tonight.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA/IL 817 PM CDT FRI JUL 28 2023 IAC031-097-105-113-290200- /O.CON.KDVN.SV.W.0205.000000T0000Z-230729T0200Z/ JACKSON IA-CEDAR IA-JONES IA-LINN IA- 817 PM CDT FRI JUL 28 2023 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON...NORTHERN CEDAR...JONES AND LINN COUNTIES... AT 817 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR BUCK CREEK TO SQUAW CREEK PARK, MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH. THESE ARE DESTRUCTIVE STORMS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA. HAZARD...100 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. EXPECT EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CEDAR RAPIDS, ANAMOSA, MECHANICSVILLE, STANWOOD, MARION, HIAWATHA, MOUNT VERNON, MONTICELLO, ROBINS, CENTER POINT, CASCADE, LISBON, FAIRFAX, ELY, WALFORD, CENTRAL CITY, SPRINGVILLE, PALO, LOWDEN AND OLIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS, AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. LAT...LON 4229 9078 4203 9083 4203 9090 4184 9090 4186 9183 4230 9176 TIME...MOT...LOC 0117Z 280DEG 57KT 4230 9136 4200 9158 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN WIND THREAT...OBSERVED MAX WIND GUST...100 MPH

I don't like the looks of that destructive 80 mph line of storms at the Quad Cities area now moving east at 70.

I don't think the hatching was there earlier.

If this congeals we might have the beginnings of a derecho overnight as it moves from eastern IA and sw WI to the southeast.

95% chance svr watch to be issued for northern IL and nw IN with a svr storm over Naperville at present

Is the lake breeze gonna give us an appetizer here in the Calumet before the entree later this evening?