wxmx
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About wxmx
- Birthday 12/29/1973
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
MMMY
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Monterrey, MX
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Report: Another Year of Record Heat for the Oceans
wxmx replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Report: Another Year of Record Heat for the Oceans
wxmx replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Looking at the models/ensembles, the stronger/earlier development, the farther right it goes, looks like a good example of beta drift.
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Officially a cat 2 - 85 kts hurricane, with 967mb central pressure.
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968mb extrapolated, 85 kts SFMR. It will probably be upgraded to cat 2
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Visible imagery. Sunset are the beer googles of hurricanes.
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Hopefully before sunset. Would be a very photogenic image of Grace
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Shear has abated some, to around 10-15 kts. Looks like it gained a bit of latitude during the convective explosion, but not much. Now looks like Tecolutla may be ground zero. If trends continue we can speculate on a major at landfall.
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Diana 1990 and Gert 1993 are possible analogs to strength and landfall location. They both caused record flooding in the area.
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Yeah, no cyclone is match to the Sierra Madre. The bigger and meaner, the more dramatic the fall. Only thing is all it's juice is squeezed out, causing mudslides and extensive flooding.
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And right on cue. The last 12 hours up to landfall were the ones that we expected Grace would intensify more aggressively and we are near that threshold. We needed a hurricane that looked like one, and it's taking that look now.
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Briefly yesterday https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2021/al07/al072021.discus.022.shtml?