bigtenfan
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This!! By the time that the enviornmentalist and their lawyers are done with this it will take 4 years to get permits!
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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
bigtenfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Follow up question: Would a stronger storm that much further out have a better chance of poleward movement even bumping up against a strong Bermuda/Azores high? I have read many times on this board that some of the biggest risks to the islands westward are storms that stay weak until it passes 60/65 degrees and then gets stronger and becomes a threat to the islands and westward. I guess what I am asking is if a stronger storm further east have a better chance of finding that weakness to recurve to. -
2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
bigtenfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Thanks so much for the quick response. -
2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
bigtenfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Question: With the greatest abnormalities in SST so far east would that increase the chances of early recurves? My understanding is that storms will lift poleward as they get stronger especially east of the islands. -
Perfect for Phila Eagles fans that soon after the Super Bowl. Kind of gives a new meaning to the term Philly Special.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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Now you have done it. Started a thread. The kiss of death.
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Glad that I can help
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Just flew in to West Palm Beach. It was one of the most turbulent descents that I have ever experienced and I fly about 25 times a year.
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2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
bigtenfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Would the exiting Lee leave a weakness allowing that storm to safely recurve? -
2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
bigtenfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
It does bear watching although so far anyway the GFS looks to be alone in the track when you look at the 240 hour position on the EPS and CMC vs the GFS. Also neither the GEFS or the EPS give much support to bringing it that close the the EC -
Looking somewhat further ahead: Some of this morning long range guidance has storm this doing a full loop once off shore and circling around to be a threat to the SE coast of Florida. Are the steering currents that crazy for that to be a reasonable possibility?
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2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
bigtenfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
If the wave is already out there and if it was considered even a lower level threat to the islands/FL/SEUS I would think that the NHC would have at least a 20% Lemon for development over the next 7 days. If the sheer isn't there Is it the dry air that is preventing serious development? -
2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
bigtenfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
The 16 day GFS show a parade of waves leaving Africa but none of them make it past the middle of the MDR. -
2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
bigtenfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Florida is notably not included in even a 5% chance. I hope that it is right. -
I flew to Phila out of Fort Lauderdale today. On ascent the Sahara dust was very apparent.