2010 extreme

Very true and unlike coastal snow, severe events, particularly large-scale ones tend to trend south and east. This looks no different as earlier times are now favored. However, large scale off season high shear low cape events which normally fail to gusty showers end up being our most impressive outbreaks when they do perform. Probably won't happen this time as the period from early October to early November have never really seen much.

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 090805 SPC AC 090805 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0305 AM CDT Sun Oct 09 2022 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Wednesday/Day 4 and Thursday/Day 5... A cold front is forecast to move quickly eastward across the western Great Lakes and mid Mississippi Valley on Wednesday. This will occur ahead of a substantial upper-level trough that is forecast to deepen during the day. Due to strong forcing associated with the upper-level trough and cold front, a line of thunderstorms will likely develop Wednesday afternoon. This line of storms should move eastward across the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Wednesday afternoon. Although a wind-damage threat will be possible along the leading edge of this line, limited moisture return and weak instability will be problematic for a more widespread threat. An isolated wind-damage threat could continue into the evening as the cold front and line of storms moves into the central Appalachians. The cold front is forecast to move through the Northeast on Thursday, and could reintensify by midday from parts of New York and Pennsylvania southward into the Mid Atlantic. The wind-damage threat could affect areas as far north as New England Thursday afternoon. A 15 percent contour could be needed in either Day 4 or Day 5, once the details become more clear in model runs that come out over the next day or two.

Snow in late October can be a death sentence. 10/29/2011

I'm in the place I like viewing this time of night. Just south of the storm for a nice light show.

Ice on top of snow let's do it.

I'm glad I didn't see this post at work. It would have made me too hungary to be productive.

Early season clipper anyone? Just 10 days out.

Interesting, that's how it's happened the past two years. Cold NW flow in mid November.

BWI: 10/29 IAD : 10/22 DCA: 11/12 RIC: 10/30 Tie: 1.2"

Looks like the morning rain messed up todays chances.

It was 20years ago College Park and N va outbreak occurred. What a interesting day that was.

Interesting, never seen a wind advisory two counties wide that has no ridge along its axis and it only last for 4 hours. Potomac River wind tunnel/channel from 2-6 pm tomorrow.

Looking at the radar reminded me of the exact same thing. Just a few miles further east.

Have strong gusts here.

BWI : 16.2 DCA : 10.6 IAD : 17.3 RIC : 8.9 Tiebreaker. SBY : 13.4