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usedtobe

Meteorologist
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About usedtobe

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    Dunkirk, Maryland

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  1. usedtobe
    It is drier. Not sure that means a lot.
  2. usedtobe
    Yes and gives me 3". Now I'll take walk so I don't see the GFS to disappoint me.
  3. usedtobe
    Thanks. I do look in. At least we have two possible events to track. You've got a lot of pros and good enthusiasts so I'm not sure what I could add.
  4. usedtobe
    I broke the accumulations down to 6 and 12 hr intervals and stormvista gave nothing. Here's it's 24 hr amounts. If it snows that lightly we'd be lucky to get more than a coating. Graphic is courtesy of StormVista.
  5. usedtobe
    But the Euro has had that feature for days. Here's a 90hr forecast valid a 7PM Saturday.
  6. usedtobe
    The killer for most of us is the roaring southerly winds at around 5000 ft. Here's a forecast sounding for DC at 19Z or 2 PM Note that where the warm layer is and has DC at around 4C. that's also where the winds are southerly at 50kts or stronger.
  7. usedtobe
    Personally, in these really marginal temp event, I use the snow depth product. It's more conservative with amounts which is a good think. If it's really cold other snow maps are probably preferable. The GFS snowdepth product from the 18Z run.
  8. usedtobe
    Interesting that 1964-1969 was a snowy period.
  9. usedtobe
    I think your last two sentences are correct. We need the heavier precipitation and associated vertical motion to keep temps cold enough for snow. Of course not for me.
  10. usedtobe
    3.13" 2 miles north of Dunkirk in Calvert County.
  11. usedtobe
    Kathleen in 1976 had almost an identical track. It cause lots of flooding and pretty much wiped out one town.
  12. usedtobe
    I think that pretty much what the 06Z GFS was forecasting. The GFS definitely has problems. It's been running hot or at least that has been my perception. Still 96 or 97 with dewpoints in the 70s is nasty.
  13. usedtobe
  14. usedtobe
    Looks bad.
  15. usedtobe
    Getting my minutes of snow.
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